Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic: match statistics
Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stranraer play Forfar Athletic in League Two (Scotland). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Stranraer: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Forfar Athletic: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stranraer scores 1.22 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Forfar Athletic scores 1.42 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stranraer 67%, Forfar Athletic 53%. Over 2.5: Stranraer 47%, Forfar Athletic 50%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Stranraer has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.13. Stranraer: 9.6 shots per match, Forfar Athletic: 7.7.
Match halves
Stranraer: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.53. Forfar Athletic: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Stranraer: 31-45+ (12 goals). Forfar Athletic: 31-45+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Match description
I predict a draw (X). Stranraer at home averages 1.31 xG, 9.69 shots per match (4.25 on target) and concedes 1.31 goals per match, while Forfar away posts 1.06 xG, 7.81 shots (3.56 on target) and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Both teams score on average 1.19 goals per match, but Stranraer fails to score in only 19% of home games versus 38% of Forfar’s away matches, giving the hosts an edge in offensive reliability. Forfar counters with higher efficiency (15% conversion versus 12% for Stranraer) and a slightly better form over the last 5 matches (1.6 points per game versus 1.4 for Stranraer), but they lose 50% of their away games and have an inferior goal difference on the road (-5). In summary, due to Stranraer’s high home draw rate (44%) and similar xG and goal averages, the most likely outcome is a draw: roughly 40% probability, with 35% for a home win and 25% for the away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stranraer | Forfar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 54% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forfar Athletic is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Stranraer · 2.6 pts / match - Forfar Athletic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forfar Athletic is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Stranraer · 1.42 goals / match - Forfar Athletic
Stranraer scores in 75% of matches (27 of 36 matches), while Forfar Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 36 matches).
Forfar Athletic scores in 75% of matches (27 of 36 matches), while Stranraer keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Stranraer
Over / Under — Forfar Athletic
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forfar Athletic is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Stranraer · 1.86 pts / match - Forfar Athletic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stranraer - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Forfar Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 36%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stranraer
Forfar Athletic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Stranraer | Liga | Forfar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.92 | ▼ 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 22% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 74% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 79% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Stranraer 1 - 1 - 1 Forfar Athletic. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic?
The League Two match finished Stranraer 0:1 Forfar Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stranraer and Forfar Athletic?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Stranraer won 1, Forfar Athletic won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic?
Stranraer score 1.22 goals per game on average and Forfar Athletic 1.42. The League Two average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Stranraer's matches and 53% of Forfar Athletic's.
What form are Stranraer and Forfar Athletic in?
Over the last 5 games Stranraer have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Forfar Athletic 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.