Austria - BundesligaMerkur ArenaData current as of October 15, 2026

Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Sturm Graz plays Grazer AK in Bundesliga (Austria). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Merkur Arena.

Recent form

Sturm Graz has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Grazer AK has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Sturm Graz scores 1.25 goals per game and allows 1.13. Grazer AK scores 0.75 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 3.04 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Sturm Graz's games and 38% of Grazer AK's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 63%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Sturm Graz has the higher season xG average, 1.75 to 1.44 per game. Sturm Graz takes 15.8 shots per game, while Grazer AK takes 13.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Sturm Graz leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Grazer AK leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.25 after halftime.

When the teams score

Sturm Graz's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). For Grazer AK, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Bundesliga games average 3.04 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.68)
(3.88)
(4.61)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Sturm GrazGrazer AK
1.25Goals scored / game0.75
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
1.13Goals allowed / game2
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
49%Average possession46%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
4.63Shots on target / game4.13
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.75Shots per game13.88
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
4.63Shots on target4.13
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
7.9%Shot conversion5.4%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
49%Possession46%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
1.75xG for1.44
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
1.45xG against1.76
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

Shooting quality

Sturm Graz: AttackingGrazer AK: Balanced
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
Accuracy (shots on target)29%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.18

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Sturm Graz is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Sturm Graz · 1.2 pts / game - Grazer AK

Sturm Graz
DLWLW
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-2
1.75 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
WDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.75BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Grazer AK
LDWDD
Season result split
25% W38% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-3
1.13 pts / game · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Last 5 away
1-0-3
LLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.74Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sturm Graz is 67% better for: goals scored per game.

1.25 goals / game - Sturm Graz · 0.75 goals / game - Grazer AK

Sturm Graz is 77% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.13 goals / game - Sturm Graz · 2 goals / game - Grazer AK

Sturm Graz scoring profile: very strong

Sturm Graz scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 games), while Grazer AK keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).

Grazer AK scoring profile: mixed

Grazer AK scores in 38% of games (3 of 8 games), while Sturm Graz keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 games).

10Goals scored (season)6
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
9Goals conceded (season)16
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
2.38Average goals per game2.75
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
6Goals scored (last 5)4
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
8Goals conceded (last 5)4
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal38%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
38%2 goals38%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
0%3 goals0%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
0%4 goals0%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal75%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
25%2 goals38%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
25%3 goals25%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
0%4 goals13%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

38%BTTS at half-time25%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
0%BTTS in both halves13%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
25%Scored in both halves25%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
60%BTTS - last 540%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Grazer AK is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Sturm Graz · 1.13 pts / game - Grazer AK

Sturm Graz - half-time state
13% leading63% draw25% trailing
Grazer AK - half-time state
25% leading38% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.13
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)1.25
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
1.13Average goals (1st half)1.75
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
50%Clean sheet before half-time38%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
50%No goal before half-time63%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per game (2nd half)0.75
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.25
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.75
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
1.25Average goals (2nd half)1
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
75%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
38%No goal after half-time75%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

Sturm Graz - second-half results

63% W13% D25% L
8
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding385%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Grazer AK - second-half results

0% W75% D25% L
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.5

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Sturm Graz - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.80
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game1.41.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Grazer AK - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.00
Goals scored / game0.60.2
Goals allowed / game0.60.2
Average goals per game1.20.4
1 goal60%20%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Sturm Graz
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
0
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Grazer AK
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
4
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.56
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
84%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
33%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Sturm Graz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.50
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Grazer AK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.93
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.69
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

Sturm GrazLigaGrazer AK
Average goals per game▼ 2.383.04▼ 2.75
Both teams scored▼ 50%52%▼ 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 38%63%• 63%
Clean sheets▲ 38%26%• 25%
Goal before half-time▼ 63%75%• 75%
Goal after half-time▲ 88%79%▼ 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.04
Average goals per game
52%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.81
Home goals / game
1.23
Away goals / game
+47%
Home attack advantage
+32%
Home defensive advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Sturm Graz's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Grazer AK. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

SK Sturm Graz
2 : 1
Liebherr Grazer AK
Liebherr Grazer AK
0 : 3
SK Sturm Graz

FAQ

When do Sturm Graz and Grazer AK play?

Sturm Graz face Grazer AK on October 18, 2026 in Bundesliga at Merkur Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Sturm Graz and Grazer AK?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sturm Graz won 2, Grazer AK won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?

Sturm Graz score 1.25 goals per game on average and Grazer AK 0.75. The Bundesliga average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Sturm Graz's matches and 38% of Grazer AK's.

What form are Sturm Graz and Grazer AK in?

Over the last 5 games Sturm Graz have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Grazer AK 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.