Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien: match statistics
Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sturm Graz played against Rapid Wien in Bundesliga (Austria). The game was played on May 17, 2026. Venue: Merkur Arena. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Sturm Graz has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Rapid Wien has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Sturm Graz scores 1.58 goals per game and allows 1.13. Rapid Wien scores 1.16 and allows 1.26. Games in this league average 2.69 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Sturm Graz's games and 55% of Rapid Wien's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 39%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sturm Graz has the higher season xG average, 1.69 to 1.34 per game. Sturm Graz takes 15.5 shots per game, while Rapid Wien takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Sturm Graz leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.87 goals per game after halftime. Rapid Wien leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sturm Graz's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Rapid Wien, it is minutes 61-75 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 2.69 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sturm Graz, the table leaders (position 1), have scored 49 goals this season versus Rapid’s 36, and in the last 5 matches the home side have netted 8 goals (record: 1 win, 4 draws, 0 losses), while Rapid have 4 goals with a record of 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses. At home Sturm average 15.53 shots and 4.13 shots on target per game with an average xG of 1.69, whereas Rapid away average 12.27 shots, 4.2 on target and xG 1.39, indicating a home advantage in chance creation despite Rapid’s higher finishing efficiency (9% vs 6% conversion rate). Defensively Sturm concede 1.13 goals at home on average and have conceded 6 goals in their last 5 matches; Rapid concede 1.27 goals away and have conceded 9 in their last five, so the home defense appears more stable. Additionally Sturm collect an average of 1.4 points per game in the last 5 matches versus Rapid’s 0.8 and have 33% clean sheets at home compared to Rapid’s 20% away. Given superior chance creation (xG 1.69 vs 1.39), a higher seasonal goal tally (49 vs 36) and better recent form over the last five matches, I forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess BTTS - Yes as more likely: I estimate a 68% probability for 'Yes' and 32% for 'No', because Sturm Graz have BTTS in 100% of their last 5 matches and average 1.6 goals, while Rapid record BTTS in 67% of matches this season. Both teams concede about 1.25–1.27 goals per match season-to-date (Sturm 1.25, Rapid 1.27), and Rapid have conceded 9 goals in their last five (1.8 avg), which increases the likelihood both sides score. Combined xG is 2.69 (1.3 for Sturm + 1.39 for Rapid), virtually equal to the league average 2.7, indicating a moderate number of chances; additionally Rapid average 4.2 shots on target per game versus Sturm's 3.19. Seasonal clean sheet rates are low: Sturm keep a clean sheet in 31% of matches, Rapid only 20%, and seasonal goal totals (Sturm 49 scored/35 conceded, Rapid 36/39) show both teams regularly score and concede. Considering Sturm's 100% BTTS in the last 5, Rapid's high seasonal BTTS of 67% against a league average of 56%, and comparable xG, I select the 'Yes' scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.40 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.30 for Rapid Wien, totaling 2.70 goals. The calculation is based on xG: Sturm has xG for 1.30 versus Rapid xG against 1.35 (average ≈1.33), and Rapid has xG for 1.39 versus Sturm xG against 1.20 (average ≈1.30); additionally, in the last 5 matches Sturm has xG for 1.7 and has scored 1.6 goals on average, while Rapid has conceded 1.8 goals on average in their last 5 matches. Seasonally Over 1.5 occurs in 75% of home matches and 87% of away matches, and the share of matches where both teams scored is 44% for Sturm and 67% for Rapid, which boosts the probability of at least 2 goals. The 2.5 line is less convincing: season-long Over 2.5 is 38% for Sturm and 40% for Rapid, and in the last 5 matches Over 2.5 occurred in 20% for the hosts and 40% for the visitors, so I assign Over 2.5 roughly a 48% probability. Based on the above I recommend over 1.5 (side: over, line: 1.5) as the optimal selection, since the high seasonal rates of 75% and 87% together with the expected 2.70 goals provide the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal stats indicate balanced offensive capabilities: Sturm averages 1.19 goals per game, Rapid 1.13, with xG of 1.30 for Sturm and 1.39 for Rapid, and Rapid averages 4.20 shots on target versus Sturm’s 3.19. Matches are often low-scoring at Half-Time — hosts average 0.44 goals by the break, visitors 0.53, and the half-time draw rate is 31% for Sturm and 40% for Rapid, so a draw at 45 minutes is likely. In the last five fixtures Sturm led at the break in 40% of cases (2 of 5), while Rapid led at the break in only 20% (1 of 5) and were trailing at the break in 60% (3 of 5), suggesting the hosts look stronger after the break. This supports a scenario where Sturm perform better in second halves: Sturm average 1.38 goals in the second half overall, scoring 0.75 after the break versus Rapid’s 0.60, so hosts more often decide the outcome in the second half. Therefore I back X/1 (draw at Half-Time, Sturm win Full-Time) as the strongest signal — low goals at the break (0.44–0.53), Sturm’s superior post-break form and Rapid’s weaker recent record (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses) favor this scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sturm Graz | Rapid Wien | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sturm Graz is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Sturm Graz · 0.8 pts / game - Rapid Wien
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sturm Graz is 36% better for: goals scored per game.
1.58 goals / game - Sturm Graz · 1.16 goals / game - Rapid Wien
Sturm Graz is 12% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.13 goals / game - Sturm Graz · 1.26 goals / game - Rapid Wien
Sturm Graz scores in 90% of games (28 of 31 meczów), while Rapid Wien keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 meczów).
Rapid Wien scores in 77% of games (24 of 31 meczów), while Sturm Graz keeps a clean sheet in 35% (11 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sturm Graz
Over / Under - Rapid Wien
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sturm Graz is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / game - Sturm Graz · 1.13 pts / game - Rapid Wien
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sturm Graz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Rapid Wien - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sturm Graz
Rapid Wien
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Sturm Graz | Liga | Rapid Wien | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.71 | 2.69 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 56% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 25% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Sturm Graz's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Rapid Wien. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien?
The Bundesliga match finished Sturm Graz 2:0 Rapid Wien. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sturm Graz and Rapid Wien?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Sturm Graz won 1, Rapid Wien won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien?
Sturm Graz score 1.58 goals per game on average and Rapid Wien 1.16. The Bundesliga average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Sturm Graz's matches and 55% of Rapid Wien's.
What form are Sturm Graz and Rapid Wien in?
Over the last 5 games Sturm Graz have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Rapid Wien 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.