Sturm Graz vs Ried: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Sturm Graz vs Ried: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sturm Graz plays Ried in Bundesliga (Austria). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026. Venue: Merkur Arena.
Recent form
Sturm Graz has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Ried has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Sturm Graz scores 1.78 goals per game and allows 1.11. Ried scores 1.78 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 3.17 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Sturm Graz's games and 89% of Ried's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 67%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sturm Graz has the higher season xG average, 1.84 to 1.70 per game. Sturm Graz takes 16.6 shots per game, while Ried takes 14.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Sturm Graz leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Ried leads at halftime in 44% and scores 0.56 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sturm Graz's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Ried, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.17 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sturm Graz | Ried | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ried is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Sturm Graz · 2 pts / game - Ried
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sturm Graz is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.11 goals / game - Sturm Graz · 1.67 goals / game - Ried
Sturm Graz scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Ried keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 games).
Ried scores in 100% of games (9 of 9 games), while Sturm Graz keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sturm Graz
Over / Under - Ried
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ried is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / game - Sturm Graz · 1.56 pts / game - Ried
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sturm Graz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ried - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 80% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sturm Graz
Ried
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Sturm Graz | Liga | Ried | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.89 | 3.17 | ▲ 3.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 52% | ▲ 89% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 81% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Sturm Graz's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Ried. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
When do Sturm Graz and Ried play?
Sturm Graz face Ried on October 25, 2026 in Bundesliga at Merkur Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sturm Graz and Ried?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sturm Graz won 2, Ried won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sturm Graz vs Ried?
Sturm Graz score 1.78 goals per game on average and Ried 1.78. The Bundesliga average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Sturm Graz's matches and 89% of Ried's.
What form are Sturm Graz and Ried in?
Over the last 5 games Sturm Graz have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Ried 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sturm Graz vs Ried?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sturm Graz vs Ried: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.