Sturm Graz vs Salzburg: match statistics
Salzburg displays a significantly better away form with a 45% win rate and an impressive goal difference (+8) on the road, while Sturm Graz has only a 45% win rate at home with a negative goal difference (-2). The visitors score an average of 1.82 goals per away match compared to 1.09 for the hosts in home games, which, given similar xG values (1.68 vs 1.65), indicates Salzburg's greater efficiency. Salzburg's possession at 61% in away matches exceeds Sturm Graz's 56% at home, suggesting control of the game by the visitors. The recent form of both teams also favors Salzburg – the hosts have averaged 2 points per match over their last 5 games, while the visitors only 0.8, but their higher shooting accuracy (13% shot conversion compared to the hosts' 8%) and better away defense (1.09 goals conceded versus 1.27 for the hosts) give them an edge. Considering all statistics, Salzburg has a genuine chance of victory, although the slight difference in quality between both teams makes this match a balanced one.
Sturm Graz vs Salzburg: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sturm Graz played against Salzburg in Bundesliga (Austria). The game was played on March 20, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Sturm Graz has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Salzburg has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Sturm Graz scores 1.65 goals per game and allows 1.22. Salzburg scores 1.83 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 2.64 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Sturm Graz's games and 61% of Salzburg's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 61%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Salzburg has the higher season xG average, 1.86 to 1.69 per game. Sturm Graz takes 15.0 shots per game, while Salzburg takes 16.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Sturm Graz leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.96 goals per game after halftime. Salzburg leads at halftime in 39% and scores 0.87 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sturm Graz's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Salzburg, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 2.64 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Salzburg displays a significantly better away form with a 45% win rate and an impressive goal difference (+8) on the road, while Sturm Graz has only a 45% win rate at home with a negative goal difference (-2). The visitors score an average of 1.82 goals per away match compared to 1.09 for the hosts in home games, which, given similar xG values (1.68 vs 1.65), indicates Salzburg's greater efficiency. Salzburg's possession at 61% in away matches exceeds Sturm Graz's 56% at home, suggesting control of the game by the visitors. The recent form of both teams also favors Salzburg – the hosts have averaged 2 points per match over their last 5 games, while the visitors only 0.8, but their higher shooting accuracy (13% shot conversion compared to the hosts' 8%) and better away defense (1.09 goals conceded versus 1.27 for the hosts) give them an edge. Considering all statistics, Salzburg has a genuine chance of victory, although the slight difference in quality between both teams makes this match a balanced one.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sturm Graz | Salzburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sturm Graz is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Sturm Graz · 1 pts / game - Salzburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Salzburg is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
1.65 goals / game - Sturm Graz · 1.83 goals / game - Salzburg
Sturm Graz scores in 91% of games (21 of 23 meczów), while Salzburg keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 meczów).
Salzburg scores in 78% of games (18 of 23 meczów), while Sturm Graz keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sturm Graz
Over / Under - Salzburg
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sturm Graz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Salzburg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sturm Graz
Salzburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Sturm Graz | Liga | Salzburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.87 | 2.64 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 52% | 51% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 25% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Sturm Graz's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Salzburg. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Sturm Graz vs Salzburg?
The Bundesliga match finished Sturm Graz 1:1 Salzburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sturm Graz and Salzburg?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sturm Graz won 1, Salzburg won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sturm Graz vs Salzburg?
Sturm Graz score 1.65 goals per game on average and Salzburg 1.83. The Bundesliga average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Sturm Graz's matches and 61% of Salzburg's.
What form are Sturm Graz and Salzburg in?
Over the last 5 games Sturm Graz have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Salzburg 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sturm Graz vs Salzburg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sturm Graz vs Salzburg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.