Italy - Serie BStadio Marco DrusoData current as of October 08, 2026

Südtirol vs Ascoli: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Südtirol vs Ascoli: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Südtirol plays Ascoli in Serie B (Italy). The game is scheduled for October 10, 2026. Venue: Stadio Marco Druso.

Recent form

Südtirol has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Ascoli has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Südtirol scores 1.80 goals per game and allows 0.60. Ascoli scores 1.40 and allows 0.80. Games in this league average 2.64 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 60% of Südtirol's games and 60% of Ascoli's. The Over 2.5 rates are 20% and 40%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Ascoli has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.00 per game. Südtirol takes 9.4 shots per game, while Ascoli takes 15.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Südtirol leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 1.40 goals per game after halftime. Ascoli leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.40 after halftime.

When the teams score

Südtirol's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Ascoli, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie B games average 2.64 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.45)
(3.20)
(2.87)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.8Goals scored / game1.4
SüdtirolAscoli
0.6Goals allowed / game0.8
SüdtirolAscoli
50%Average possession62%
SüdtirolAscoli
3.2Shots on target / game4.8
SüdtirolAscoli

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.4Shots per game15.4
SüdtirolAscoli
3.2Shots on target4.8
SüdtirolAscoli
19.1%Shot conversion9.1%
SüdtirolAscoli
50%Possession62%
SüdtirolAscoli
1xG for1.64
SüdtirolAscoli
1.71xG against1.33
SüdtirolAscoli

Shooting quality

Südtirol: Efficient finishingAscoli: Dominant
SüdtirolAscoli
Accuracy (shots on target)34%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.560.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Südtirol is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Südtirol · 2 pts / game - Ascoli

Südtirol
WDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
60% W40% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
WWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Ascoli
WDWLW
Season result split
60% W20% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Südtirol is 29% better for: goals scored per game.

1.8 goals / game - Südtirol · 1.4 goals / game - Ascoli

Südtirol is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.6 goals / game - Südtirol · 0.8 goals / game - Ascoli

Südtirol scoring profile: very strong

Südtirol scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 games), while Ascoli keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 games).

Ascoli scoring profile: strong

Ascoli scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while Südtirol keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 games).

9Goals scored (season)7
SüdtirolAscoli
3Goals conceded (season)4
SüdtirolAscoli
2.4Average goals per game2.2
SüdtirolAscoli
9Goals scored (last 5)7
SüdtirolAscoli
3Goals conceded (last 5)4
SüdtirolAscoli

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal80%
SüdtirolAscoli
40%2 goals40%
SüdtirolAscoli
20%3 goals20%
SüdtirolAscoli
20%4 goals0%
SüdtirolAscoli

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal80%
SüdtirolAscoli
0%2 goals0%
SüdtirolAscoli
0%3 goals0%
SüdtirolAscoli
0%4 goals0%
SüdtirolAscoli

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
SüdtirolAscoli
0%BTTS in both halves0%
SüdtirolAscoli
20%Scored in both halves0%
SüdtirolAscoli

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
SüdtirolAscoli
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
SüdtirolAscoli
60%BTTS - last 560%
SüdtirolAscoli

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

40%Min. 1 goal before half-time40%
SüdtirolAscoli
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
SüdtirolAscoli
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
SüdtirolAscoli

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
SüdtirolAscoli
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
SüdtirolAscoli
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
SüdtirolAscoli

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Südtirol is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.8 pts / game - Südtirol · 0.6 pts / game - Ascoli

Südtirol - half-time state
40% leading60% draw0% trailing
Ascoli - half-time state
0% leading60% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.8Points per game (1st half)0.6
SüdtirolAscoli
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0
SüdtirolAscoli
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
SüdtirolAscoli
0.4Average goals (1st half)0.4
SüdtirolAscoli
100%Clean sheet before half-time60%
SüdtirolAscoli
60%No goal before half-time100%
SüdtirolAscoli

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per game (2nd half)2
SüdtirolAscoli
1.4Goals scored (2nd half)1.4
SüdtirolAscoli
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
SüdtirolAscoli
2Average goals (2nd half)1.8
SüdtirolAscoli
40%Clean sheet after half-time60%
SüdtirolAscoli
20%No goal after half-time20%
SüdtirolAscoli

Südtirol - second-half results

60% W20% D20% L
9
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Ascoli - second-half results

60% W20% D20% L
3
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.60
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Südtirol - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.00
Goals scored / game0.41.4
Goals allowed / game0.00.6
Average goals per game0.42.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Ascoli - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.602.00
Goals scored / game0.01.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game0.41.8
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal100%20%
Goal difference-2+5
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Südtirol
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Ascoli
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
0
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.30
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
80%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Südtirol

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.71
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.91
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.80
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+1.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
127%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
49%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
44% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
44%

Ascoli

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.4
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

SüdtirolLigaAscoli
Average goals per game▼ 2.402.64▼ 2.20
Both teams scored▼ 60%64%▼ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 20%54%▼ 40%
Clean sheets▲ 40%19%• 20%
Goal before half-time▼ 40%64%▼ 40%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%88%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / game
1.22
Away goals / game
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Südtirol and Ascoli play?

Südtirol face Ascoli on October 10, 2026 in Serie B at Stadio Marco Druso. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Südtirol vs Ascoli?

Südtirol score 1.80 goals per game on average and Ascoli 1.40. The Serie B average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Südtirol's matches and 60% of Ascoli's.

What form are Südtirol and Ascoli in?

Over the last 5 games Südtirol have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Ascoli 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Südtirol vs Ascoli?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.