Südtirol vs Catanzaro: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Südtirol displays solid home form with a 40% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3) at home, and their last five matches feature an impressive run of three victories. Despite their higher league position (8th place), Catanzaro has a weaker away form with only a 30% win rate on the road and a negative goal difference (-2). A key factor is Catanzaro's advantage in possession (55% vs 40%) and better shooting accuracy (10% vs 9%), however, their recent away form (dddlwlwwll) raises doubts. Considering that both teams share an identical FTS% (40%) and similar average xG, I expect a hard-fought, tactical encounter ending in a share of the points.
Südtirol vs Catanzaro: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Südtirol played against Catanzaro in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Südtirol has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Catanzaro has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Südtirol scores 1.05 goals per game and allows 1.05. Catanzaro scores 1.29 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.45 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Südtirol's games and 57% of Catanzaro's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 48%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Südtirol has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.35 per game. Südtirol takes 12.5 shots per game, while Catanzaro takes 12.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Südtirol leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. Catanzaro leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
Südtirol's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Catanzaro, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.45 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Südtirol displays solid home form with a 40% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3) at home, and their last five matches feature an impressive run of three victories. Despite their higher league position (8th place), Catanzaro has a weaker away form with only a 30% win rate on the road and a negative goal difference (-2). A key factor is Catanzaro's advantage in possession (55% vs 40%) and better shooting accuracy (10% vs 9%), however, their recent away form (dddlwlwwll) raises doubts. Considering that both teams share an identical FTS% (40%) and similar average xG, I expect a hard-fought, tactical encounter ending in a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Südtirol | Catanzaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Südtirol is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Südtirol · 1.4 pts / game - Catanzaro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Catanzaro is 23% better for: goals scored per game.
1.05 goals / game - Südtirol · 1.29 goals / game - Catanzaro
Südtirol is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.05 goals / game - Südtirol · 1.14 goals / game - Catanzaro
Südtirol scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Catanzaro keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 meczów).
Catanzaro scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 meczów), while Südtirol keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Südtirol
Over / Under - Catanzaro
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Südtirol is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / game - Südtirol · 1 pts / game - Catanzaro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Südtirol - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 24%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Catanzaro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Südtirol
Catanzaro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Südtirol | Liga | Catanzaro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.10 | 2.45 | • 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 54% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 70% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Südtirol's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Catanzaro. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Südtirol vs Catanzaro?
The Serie B match finished Südtirol 2:1 Catanzaro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Südtirol vs Catanzaro?
Südtirol score 1.05 goals per game on average and Catanzaro 1.29. The Serie B average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Südtirol's matches and 57% of Catanzaro's.
What form are Südtirol and Catanzaro in?
Over the last 5 games Südtirol have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Catanzaro 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Südtirol vs Catanzaro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Südtirol vs Catanzaro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.