Südtirol vs Spezia: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, pointing towards a draw. Südtirol has poor home form with only 25% home wins and a 50% loss rate, though their last five matches overall show stabilization with three draws. Spezia presents better recent form (1.8 points per match in the last 5 games versus Südtirol's 0.6) but also struggles on the road with 50% losses and only 25% wins. A key factor is Südtirol's high draw percentage (56% overall) and the fact that both teams share similar xG and efficiency statistics. Spezia fails to score less often away (25% FTS) compared to Südtirol at home (50% FTS), giving the visitors a slight edge, but the general balance of power makes a draw the most probable outcome of this encounter.
Südtirol vs Spezia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Südtirol played against Spezia in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on January 10, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Südtirol has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Spezia has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Südtirol scores 0.89 goals per game and allows 1.17. Spezia scores 0.94 and allows 1.39. Games in this league average 2.48 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 61% of Südtirol's games and 56% of Spezia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 28% and 39%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Südtirol has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.22 per game. Südtirol takes 12.5 shots per game, while Spezia takes 10.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Südtirol leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.39 goals per game after halftime. Spezia leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.56 after halftime.
When the teams score
Südtirol's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Spezia, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.48 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, pointing towards a draw. Südtirol has poor home form with only 25% home wins and a 50% loss rate, though their last five matches overall show stabilization with three draws. Spezia presents better recent form (1.8 points per match in the last 5 games versus Südtirol's 0.6) but also struggles on the road with 50% losses and only 25% wins. A key factor is Südtirol's high draw percentage (56% overall) and the fact that both teams share similar xG and efficiency statistics. Spezia fails to score less often away (25% FTS) compared to Südtirol at home (50% FTS), giving the visitors a slight edge, but the general balance of power makes a draw the most probable outcome of this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Südtirol | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Spezia is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Südtirol · 1.8 pts / game - Spezia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Spezia is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
0.89 goals / game - Südtirol · 0.94 goals / game - Spezia
Südtirol is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.17 goals / game - Südtirol · 1.39 goals / game - Spezia
Südtirol scores in 61% of games (11 of 18 meczów), while Spezia keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 meczów).
Spezia scores in 72% of games (13 of 18 meczów), while Südtirol keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Südtirol
Over / Under - Spezia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Südtirol is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / game - Südtirol · 0.94 pts / game - Spezia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Südtirol - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 11%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Spezia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Südtirol
Spezia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Südtirol | Liga | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.06 | 2.48 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 56% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 46% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 26% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 69% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Südtirol vs Spezia?
The Serie B match finished Südtirol 2:1 Spezia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Südtirol vs Spezia?
Südtirol score 0.89 goals per game on average and Spezia 0.94. The Serie B average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Südtirol's matches and 56% of Spezia's.
What form are Südtirol and Spezia in?
Over the last 5 games Südtirol have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Spezia 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Südtirol vs Spezia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.