Sumqayıt vs Mil Mugan FK: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sumqayıt play Mil Mugan FK in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 9 December 2025 at 16:30. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Sumqayıt: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Mil Mugan FK: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sumqayıt scores 1.27 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Mil Mugan FK scores 0.70 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.58 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sumqayıt 55%, Mil Mugan FK 24%. Over 2.5: Sumqayıt 55%, Mil Mugan FK 30%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Sumqayıt has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.00. Sumqayıt: 9.7 shots per match, Mil Mugan FK: 8.3.

Match halves

Sumqayıt: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.85. Mil Mugan FK: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.39.

Goals by minute

Sumqayıt: 76-90+ (12 goals). Mil Mugan FK: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

63Possession (%)37
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
12Shots7
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
5Shots on target3
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
1.47xG0.93
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
2Corners3
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
48Dangerous attacks37
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
11Fouls11
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
3Cards3
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
1.27Goals scored / match0.7
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
1.52Goals conceded / match1.24
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
52%Average possession41%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
3.58Shots on target / match2.76
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.73Shots per match8.3
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
3.58Shots on target2.76
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
13.1%Shot conversion8.4%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
52%Possession41%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
1.27xG for1
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
1.41xG against1.43
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK

Shooting quality

Sumqayıt: Efficient finishingMil Mugan FK: Balanced
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
Accuracy (shots on target)37%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sumqayıt is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Sumqayıt · 1 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK

Sumqayıt
WLWLL
Season result split
33% W15% R52% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-5-17
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-2-8
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Mil Mugan FK
LWDLD
Season result split
24% W36% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-12-13
1.09 pts / match · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-3-7
Last 5 away
3-0-2
LWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sumqayıt is 81% better for: goals scored per match.

1.27 goals / match - Sumqayıt · 0.7 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK

Mil Mugan FK is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.52 goals / match - Sumqayıt · 1.24 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK

Sumqayıt scoring profile: strong

Sumqayıt scores in 76% of matches (25 of 33 matches), while Mil Mugan FK keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).

Mil Mugan FK scoring profile: mixed

Mil Mugan FK scores in 45% of matches (15 of 33 matches), while Sumqayıt keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).

42Goals scored (season)23
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
50Goals conceded (season)41
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
2.79Average goals in match1.94
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
9Goals scored (last 5)2
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
9Goals conceded (last 5)6
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal45%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
36%2 goals15%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
12%3 goals9%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
3%4 goals0%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal58%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
45%2 goals33%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
24%3 goals18%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
6%4 goals6%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time9%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
9%BTTS in both halves6%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
18%Scored in both halves12%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS12%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
80%BTTS - last 520%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time52%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time15%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
58%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mil Mugan FK is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.91 pts / match - Sumqayıt · 1.18 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK

Sumqayıt - half-time state
15% leading45% draw39% trailing
Mil Mugan FK - half-time state
21% leading55% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.91Points per match (1st half)1.18
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
0.42Goals scored (1st half)0.3
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
1.09Average goals (1st half)0.76
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
48%Clean sheet before half-time70%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
67%No goal before half-time70%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK

After half-time (2nd half)

1.24Points per match (2nd half)1
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
0.85Goals scored (2nd half)0.39
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
0.85Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
1.7Average goals (2nd half)1.18
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
39%Clean sheet after half-time48%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK
39%No goal after half-time73%
SumqayıtMil Mugan FK

Sumqayıt - second-half results

27% W42% R30% P
30
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding220%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mil Mugan FK - second-half results

21% W36% R42% P
39
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sumqayıt - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Mil Mugan FK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sumqayıt
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
5
7
16-30
7
10
31-45
7
6
46-60
9
10
61-75
12
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Mil Mugan FK
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
3
4
16-30
4
6
31-45
2
11
46-60
4
2
61-75
7
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.36
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-37%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sumqayıt

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Mil Mugan FK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+12.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
55%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

SumqayıtLigaMil Mugan FK
Average goals in match 2.792.58 1.94
Both teams scored 55%46% 24%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 55%48% 30%
Clean sheets 24%31% 42%
Goal before half-time 67%65% 52%
Goal after half-time 76%74% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.58
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+3%
Home attack advantage
+3%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Sumqayıt 1 - 0 - 1 Mil Mugan FK. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Mil Muğan FK
0 : 2
FK Sumqayıt
Mil Muğan FK
1 : 0
FK Sumqayıt

FAQ

What was the result of Sumqayıt vs Mil Mugan FK?

The Premyer Liqası match finished Sumqayıt 1:0 Mil Mugan FK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Sumqayıt and Mil Mugan FK?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sumqayıt won 1, Mil Mugan FK won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Sumqayıt vs Mil Mugan FK?

Sumqayıt score 1.27 goals per game on average and Mil Mugan FK 0.70. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Sumqayıt's matches and 24% of Mil Mugan FK's.

What form are Sumqayıt and Mil Mugan FK in?

Over the last 5 games Sumqayıt have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Mil Mugan FK 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sumqayıt vs Mil Mugan FK?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.