Sumqayıt vs Qarabağ: match statistics
Sumqayıt vs Qarabağ: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sumqayıt play Qarabağ in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 22 May 2026 at 02:00. Venue: Kapital Bank Arena. Final score: 3:4.
Current form
Sumqayıt: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Qarabağ: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sumqayıt scores 1.27 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Qarabağ scores 2.15 and concedes 0.82. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sumqayıt 55%, Qarabağ 45%. Over 2.5: Sumqayıt 55%, Qarabağ 48%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Qarabağ has higher xG: 1.97 vs 1.27. Sumqayıt: 9.7 shots per match, Qarabağ: 15.5.
Match halves
Sumqayıt: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.85. Qarabağ: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.27.
Goals by minute
Sumqayıt: 76-90+ (12 goals). Qarabağ: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Qarabağ is the clear favorite in this matchup. Away, Qarabağ averages 2.0 goals per game (67 this season) and concedes only 0.93 goals, while Sumqayıt at home score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals. The visitors average 15.13 shots with 5.73 on target per game compared to the hosts' 9.8 shots and 3.4 on target, which combined with a higher xG 1.91 vs 1.32 (difference +0.59) indicates superior quality of Qarabağ’s attacking chances. Qarabağ also has a significantly better season record (20 wins and a goal difference of 67-24) than Sumqayıt (11 wins, 39-46) and a lower percentage of away matches without scoring 13% vs 27% for the hosts. Form over the last five matches shows the visitors slightly ahead on points: Qarabağ average 2.0 points per game versus Sumqayıt’s 1.8, so considering their advantage in chance creation, possession (64% vs 52%) and better defensive metrics, I expect a Qarabağ win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sumqayıt | Qarabağ | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Qarabağ is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Sumqayıt · 2 pts / match - Qarabağ
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Qarabağ is 69% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Sumqayıt · 2.15 goals / match - Qarabağ
Qarabağ is 85% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - Sumqayıt · 0.82 goals / match - Qarabağ
Sumqayıt scores in 76% of matches (25 of 33 matches), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).
Qarabağ scores in 82% of matches (27 of 33 matches), while Sumqayıt keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sumqayıt
Over / Under — Qarabağ
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Qarabağ is 84% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - Sumqayıt · 1.67 pts / match - Qarabağ
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sumqayıt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Qarabağ - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sumqayıt
Qarabağ
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Sumqayıt | Liga | Qarabağ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.79 | 2.58 | ▲ 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 46% | • 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 48% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 31% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sumqayıt 1 - 0 - 1 Qarabağ. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sumqayıt vs Qarabağ?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Sumqayıt 3:4 Qarabağ. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sumqayıt and Qarabağ?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sumqayıt won 1, Qarabağ won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sumqayıt vs Qarabağ?
Sumqayıt score 1.27 goals per game on average and Qarabağ 2.15. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Sumqayıt's matches and 45% of Qarabağ's.
What form are Sumqayıt and Qarabağ in?
Over the last 5 games Sumqayıt have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Qarabağ 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sumqayıt vs Qarabağ?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sumqayıt vs Qarabağ: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.