Super Nova II vs Tukums II: match statistics
Super Nova II vs Tukums II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Super Nova II played against Tukums II in 1. Liga (Latvia). The game was played on June 27, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Super Nova II has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Tukums II has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Super Nova II scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.50. Tukums II scores 1.50 and allows 2.60. Games in this league average 3.46 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Super Nova II's games and 90% of Tukums II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 80%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 68% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tukums II has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.34 per game. Super Nova II takes 8.9 shots per game, while Tukums II takes 9.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Super Nova II leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.90 goals per game after halftime. Tukums II leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.90 after halftime.
When the teams score
Super Nova II's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Tukums II, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1. Liga games average 3.46 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 68% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back Super Nova II to win because hosts hold a clear defensive edge: they concede just 1.00 goals per home match and keep clean sheets in 33% of home games, whereas Tukums II concede 3.25 goals per away match and have recorded 0% clean sheets. Super Nova II also pick up more points recently (1.4 PPG in the last 5 matches vs. the visitors' 0.8 PPG), have a positive home goal difference (+2 GD) and sit higher in the table (7 vs 11). The visitors, however, are dangerous in attack on the road — averaging 2.00 goals per away match, 4.67 shots on target and 15% conversion, and an FTS% of 0 indicates they can score but also concede heavily (26 goals conceded this season, -5 GD away). Additionally, the hosts record an average xG of 1.23 per match while Tukums allow an away xG against of 2.38, suggesting that despite moderate possession (49% vs 46%) Super Nova II have realistic chances to exploit the opponent’s defensive weaknesses.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS (Both Teams To Score) because Tukums II has a seasonal BTTS of 100% and 100% in the last 5 matches, while Super Nova II has a seasonal BTTS of 83%. Additionally, Tukums II averages 2.0 goals scored away and concedes 3.25, whereas Super Nova II at home scores 1.17 and concedes 2.17, indicating both teams regularly create and concede chances. xG corroborates this trend: Super Nova II generates 1.53 xG at home, and Tukums II concedes 2.38 xG on the road; meanwhile Tukums II has 1.29 xG away, and Super Nova II concedes 1.76 xG at home. Shot and efficiency stats also support goals — Super Nova II records 11.17 shots (5.17 on target) with a 10% conversion, and Tukums II 8.67 shots (4.67 on target) with a 15% conversion. Therefore I assign 85% to 'yes' (BTTS - Yes) and 15% to 'no' (No Goal) — strong seasonal signals (83% and 100% BTTS, 0–17% clean sheets, high average conceded goals 2.17 vs 3.25) outweigh the fact that Super Nova II has only 20% BTTS in the last 5 matches, which slightly reduces confidence.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis indicates high goal potential: Super Nova II scores 1.17 and concedes 2.17 goals per match on average, Tukums II scores 2.00 and concedes 3.25, while the league average is 3.46 goals per game. Based on xG (Super Nova II xG_for 1.53 vs xG_against 2.38; Tukums II xG_for 1.29 vs xG_against 1.76) I obtain expected goals of ~1.96 for the home side and ~1.53 for the visitors, total 3.49. A Poisson model on a mean of 3.49 yields approximately an 86% probability for Over 1.5 and ~68% for Over 2.5, while a raw simulation gives ~46% for Over 3.5. Seasonal percentages confirm the offensive profile: both teams have 100% of matches Over 1.5, Over 2.5 is 67% (home) vs 100% (away), and Over 3.5 is 50% for the home side and 100% for the visitors; additionally both teams frequently hit BTTS (83% home, 100% away). Consequently the best market to play is Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (estimate 97% for Over 1.5, 68% for Over 2.5 and 60% for Over 3.5) with expected goals 1.96–1.53 (total 3.49).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Tukums II appears favored to hold the lead at the break — the visitors average 2.00 goals per match versus Super Nova II's 1.17, and by half-time they average 1.0 goal compared to the hosts' 0.33, leading at the break in 25% of matches versus the hosts' 17%. Although xG is 1.53 for Super Nova II and 1.29 for Tukums II, the visitors convert chances more efficiently (15% vs 10%) and effectively achieve 2.0 goals per match rather than 1.17, giving them an efficiency edge. Both teams score frequently — the season share of both-teams-to-score matches is 83% for the hosts and 100% for the visitors, and in the second half both sides have 100% of matches with at least one goal, so the second act will produce movement in the scoreline. The second half is active (on average 2.75 goals in the visitors' matches and 2.0 for the hosts) and although Super Nova II scores more in second halves on average (1.17 vs 0.75), this does not erase Tukums II’s superiority in conversion. Consequently, the strongest signal is the scenario of Tukums II leading at half-time and winning full-time (HT/FT 2/2): higher conversion rate 15%, more goals 2.0 vs 1.17 and more frequent leads at the break 25% vs 17%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Super Nova II | Tukums II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Super Nova II is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Super Nova II · 0.8 pts / game - Tukums II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Super Nova II is 73% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - Super Nova II · 2.6 goals / game - Tukums II
Super Nova II scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 meczów), while Tukums II keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 meczów).
Tukums II scores in 100% of games (10 of 10 meczów), while Super Nova II keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Super Nova II
Over / Under - Tukums II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Super Nova II is 113% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / game - Super Nova II · 0.8 pts / game - Tukums II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Super Nova II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Tukums II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Super Nova II
Tukums II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Super Nova II | Liga | Tukums II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.00 | 3.46 | ▲ 4.10 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 61% | ▲ 90% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 68% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 23% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 70% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Super Nova II vs Tukums II?
The 1. Liga match finished Super Nova II 3:1 Tukums II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Super Nova II vs Tukums II?
Super Nova II score 1.50 goals per game on average and Tukums II 1.50. The 1. Liga average is 3.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Super Nova II's matches and 90% of Tukums II's.
What form are Super Nova II and Tukums II in?
Over the last 5 games Super Nova II have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tukums II 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Super Nova II vs Tukums II?
The statistical background for Super Nova II vs Tukums II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.