Super Nova vs Riga: match statistics
Super Nova vs Riga: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Super Nova played against Riga in Virsliga (Latvia). The game was played on April 14, 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Recent form
Super Nova has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Riga has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Super Nova scores 1.40 goals per game and allows 1.00. Riga scores 3.60 and allows 1.60. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 80% of Super Nova's games and 80% of Riga's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 100%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Riga has the higher season xG average, 2.06 to 1.41 per game. Super Nova takes 11.0 shots per game, while Riga takes 17.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Super Nova leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Riga leads at halftime in 60% and scores 2.20 after halftime.
When the teams score
Super Nova's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Riga, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Virsliga games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 4 away wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (Riga): their offensive superiority is substantial — Riga have scored 18 goals this season and 18 in the last 5 matches, translating to an average of 3.67 goals per away game, while Super Nova have 7 goals this season and average 1.00 goal per home match. Quality of chances favors the visitors: Riga’s average xG on the road is 1.86 versus Super Nova’s 1.65 xG at home, and the visitors’ shot conversion rate is 23% compared to the hosts’ 7%. Riga average 6.33 shots on target and 15.67 attempts away versus Super Nova’s 5 on target and 14 attempts at home, and additionally Riga register 64% possession versus the hosts’ 48%, indicating game control and more opportunities. Defensively both teams concede around 1 goal per game (Super Nova 1.00 at home, Riga 1.00 away), but Super Nova have 0% clean sheets and 0% home wins in their home stats, while Riga have 33% clean sheets and 67% away wins, which favors the visitors. Considering the visitors’ 3.67 goals per away game, 23% conversion and 64% possession versus the hosts’ 1.00 goals and 7% conversion, I assess the probabilities as 65% for Riga, 20% for a draw and 15% for Super Nova.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high scoring potential: Super Nova averages 3.5 goals per game, Riga 3.67, while Super Nova concedes 2.5 and Riga 1.0, indicating a high-goal fixture. BTTS indicators strongly favor both teams — Super Nova has a seasonal BTTS of 100%, Riga 67%, and in the last 5 matches both teams have 80% BTTS, delivering a repeatable signal. Chance-creation data corroborates this: home xG 2.36 vs. away 1.86, hosts average 20.5 shots and 6.5 on target, visitors 15.67 shots and 6.33 on target, so both sides generate scoring opportunities. Additionally, both teams have 100% of matches over 2.5 goals this season (league average 2.78), although Riga’s 33% clean sheets only partially mitigate the probability. Considering the hosts’ 100% BTTS, 80% in the last 5 matches, and strong xG/shots for both teams, I predict BTTS - Yes with 82% vs 18% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model gives Super Nova an expected 1.85 goals (xG for 2.36 vs opponents xG-against 1.33). Riga’s expected goals are around 1.36 (xG for 1.86 vs Super Nova xG-against 0.86), yielding a combined forecast of ≈3.21 goals for the match. Seasonal metrics confirm an offensive profile: Super Nova averages 3.5 goals per game, Riga 3.67, both teams have 100% of matches over 2.5 goals, and the home side has 100% of matches over 3.5 (opponents 33%). Super Nova averages 20.5 shots with a 17% conversion (~3.49 “theoretical” goals), Riga 15.67 shots at 23% (~3.60). The percentage of matches where both teams score is 100% (home) and 67% (away). Consequently the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (recommendation): projected xG 3.21 and seasonal 100% of matches >1.5 support a very high probability of Over 1.5 (~95%). Over 2.5 is also strong (~78%), while Over 3.5 is less certain (~45%), therefore I pick the over on the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half statistics clearly favor the hosts: Super Nova led at the break in 2 of 2 home matches (100%) and average 2.0 goals in the first half versus Riga’s 1.0; overall hosts average 2.5 first-half goals. However, initiative shifts to the visitors after the break — Riga score an average of 2.67 goals in second halves and win 67% of second halves, while Super Nova concedes an average of 2.0 goals after halftime. Additionally, Super Nova creates more chances (xG 2.36 and 20.5 shots on average), but Riga are more efficient (xG 1.86 and a 23% conversion rate versus 17%), which facilitates a turnaround. Given the hosts’ 100% leads at half-time and Riga’s dominance in second halves (points gained after the break: 7 for Riga vs 1 for Super Nova), the most likely HT/FT outcome is 1/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Super Nova | Riga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.56 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Riga is 157% better for: goals scored per game.
1.4 goals / game - Super Nova · 3.6 goals / game - Riga
Super Nova is 60% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Super Nova · 1.6 goals / game - Riga
Super Nova scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 meczów), while Riga keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 meczów).
Riga scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 meczów), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Super Nova
Over / Under - Riga
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Riga is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / game - Super Nova · 2 pts / game - Riga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Riga - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Super Nova
Riga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Super Nova | Liga | Riga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.40 | 2.76 | ▲ 5.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 62% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 48% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | • 20% | 19% | • 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 80% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Super Nova's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses against Riga. Games average 4.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Super Nova vs Riga?
The Virsliga match finished Super Nova 1:4 Riga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Super Nova and Riga?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Super Nova won 0, Riga won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Super Nova vs Riga?
Super Nova score 1.40 goals per game on average and Riga 3.60. The Virsliga average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Super Nova's matches and 80% of Riga's.
What form are Super Nova and Riga in?
Over the last 5 games Super Nova have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Riga 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Super Nova vs Riga?
The statistical background for Super Nova vs Riga — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.