Super Nova vs Tukums: match statistics
Super Nova vs Tukums: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Super Nova play Tukums in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 11 May 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Super Nova: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Tukums: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Super Nova scores 1.05 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Tukums scores 1.68 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Super Nova 64%, Tukums 91%. Over 2.5: Super Nova 59%, Tukums 77%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Tukums has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.15. Super Nova: 8.6 shots per match, Tukums: 12.1.
Match halves
Super Nova: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.45. Tukums: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Super Nova: 76-90+ (6 goals). Tukums: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 3-2-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 83%.
Match description
I back an away win (Tukums). Over the season Tukums scored 23 goals versus Super Nova’s 11, and in the last 5 matches the visitors have 15 goals compared to the hosts’ 3. Tukums’ offensive superiority is supported by numbers: on average 9.5 shots and 3.25 on target per game with a 16% conversion rate, versus Super Nova’s 8.25 shots, 2.75 on target and 12% conversion. Form and points efficiency also favor the visitors — Tukums averages 1.6 points over the last 5 matches while Super Nova averages only 0.6 and has won just once in the last five (goal difference 3:7). Both defenses are vulnerable: the hosts concede 2.25 goals at home on average, the visitors 2.0 away, with similar xG 1.07 (Super Nova) vs 1.15 (Tukums), indicating Tukums creates slightly better chances and converts them more often. Given 0% home wins for Super Nova and a negative goal difference for them (-5 vs -2 for Tukums), I estimate probabilities at 60% for the visitors, 25% for a draw and 15% for the hosts.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Super Nova | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Super Nova is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Super Nova · 0.6 pts / match - Tukums
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tukums is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Super Nova · 1.68 goals / match - Tukums
Super Nova is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - Super Nova · 2 goals / match - Tukums
Super Nova scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Tukums keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 22 matches).
Tukums scores in 95% of matches (21 of 22 matches), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Super Nova
Over / Under — Tukums
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Super Nova is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Super Nova · 1 pts / match - Tukums
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tukums - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Super Nova
Tukums
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Super Nova | Liga | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.64 | 2.99 | ▲ 3.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 57% | ▲ 91% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 55% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 23% | ▼ 5% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 75% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | • 86% | 85% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Super Nova 3 - 2 - 1 Tukums. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 83% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Super Nova vs Tukums?
The Virsliga match finished Super Nova 1:1 Tukums. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Super Nova and Tukums?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Super Nova won 3, Tukums won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Super Nova vs Tukums?
Super Nova score 1.05 goals per game on average and Tukums 1.68. The Virsliga average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Super Nova's matches and 91% of Tukums's.
What form are Super Nova and Tukums in?
Over the last 5 games Super Nova have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Tukums 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Super Nova vs Tukums?
The statistical background for Super Nova vs Tukums — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.