Supra du Québec vs Forge FC: match statistics
Supra du Québec vs Forge FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Supra du Québec play Forge FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match date is 5 July 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Supra du Québec: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Forge FC: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Supra du Québec scores 1.36 and concedes 1.91 goals per match. Forge FC scores 1.67 and concedes 0.58. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Supra du Québec 73%, Forge FC 42%. Over 2.5: Supra du Québec 55%, Forge FC 42%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Forge FC has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.49. Supra du Québec: 14.2 shots per match, Forge FC: 13.7.
Match halves
Supra du Québec: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.91. Forge FC: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
Supra du Québec: 46-60 (4 goals). Forge FC: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Canadian Premier League: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Forge FC holds a clear advantage in the table and underlying metrics: they sit 1st with a record of 9-1-1 and a goal difference of 18:6, while CS Supra du Québec are 6th at 3-2-4 and 13:14. In the last 5 matches Forge scored 10 goals and averages 2.4 pts per game (4 wins), whereas Supra scored 8 goals and averages 1.0 pt per game, indicating a form advantage for the visitors. The efficiency gap is significant: Forge away averages 2.0 goals with a conversion rate of 14% and 5.2 shots on target, while Supra at home average 1.2 goals with only 7% conversion and 5.0 shots on target. Defensively Supra restricts opponents to 0.91 xG at home, and Forge concedes 1.27 xG away, yet in practice Forge concedes only 0.8 goals per away match versus Supra’s 1.0 at home. Therefore I forecast a Forge (2) win with 65% probability, draw 20% and home win 15% — the decisive factors are superior shot conversion and the fact Forge have no away matches without scoring (0%) compared to 40% of Supra’s home games where they failed to score.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Supra du Québec | Forge FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forge FC is 275% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Supra du Québec · 3 pts / match - Forge FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forge FC is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Supra du Québec · 1.67 goals / match - Forge FC
Forge FC is 229% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.91 goals / match - Supra du Québec · 0.58 goals / match - Forge FC
Supra du Québec scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Forge FC keeps a clean sheet in 58% (7 of 12 matches).
Forge FC scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while Supra du Québec keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Supra du Québec
Over / Under — Forge FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forge FC is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Supra du Québec · 1.58 pts / match - Forge FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Supra du Québec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Forge FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Supra du Québec
Forge FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Supra du Québec | Liga | Forge FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.27 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 61% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 53% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 20% | ▲ 58% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 57% | ▼ 42% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Supra du Québec 0 - 0 - 1 Forge FC. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Supra du Québec vs Forge FC?
The Canadian Premier League match finished Supra du Québec 1:2 Forge FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Supra du Québec vs Forge FC?
Supra du Québec score 1.36 goals per game on average and Forge FC 1.67. The Canadian Premier League average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Supra du Québec's matches and 42% of Forge FC's.
What form are Supra du Québec and Forge FC in?
Over the last 5 games Supra du Québec have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Forge FC 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Supra du Québec vs Forge FC?
The statistical background for Supra du Québec vs Forge FC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


