Sutton United vs Forest Green Rovers: match statistics
Forest Green Rovers are showing decidedly superior form and table standing (4th place) compared to Sutton United (20th place). The visitors hold an impressive record of 15 wins against just 3 defeats this season, while the hosts have managed only 5 wins alongside 12 losses. Sutton United's recent form is particularly alarming—0 wins in the last 5 games and a mere 0.2 points per match, whereas Forest Green averages 2 points per match over the same period. The visitors' away stats are robust: a 50% win rate, higher xG (1.79 vs 1.53 for the hosts at home), and a better goal conversion rate. Furthermore, Forest Green boasts a significantly better goal difference (+6 away vs +1 for the hosts at home) and superior defensive solidity (1.08 goals conceded per away match vs 1.69 for the hosts at home). All key metrics favor an away victory, though a draw cannot be completely ruled out given Forest Green's relatively high away draw percentage (33%).
Sutton United vs Forest Green Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sutton United play Forest Green Rovers in National League (England). The match date is 17 January 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Sutton United: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Forest Green Rovers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sutton United scores 1.28 and concedes 1.72 goals per match. Forest Green Rovers scores 1.74 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sutton United 61%, Forest Green Rovers 64%. Over 2.5: Sutton United 61%, Forest Green Rovers 51%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Forest Green Rovers has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.44. Sutton United: 11.2 shots per match, Forest Green Rovers: 16.2.
Match halves
Sutton United: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.74. Forest Green Rovers: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.02.
Goals by minute
Sutton United: 76-90+ (15 goals). Forest Green Rovers: 46-60 (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Forest Green Rovers are showing decidedly superior form and table standing (4th place) compared to Sutton United (20th place). The visitors hold an impressive record of 15 wins against just 3 defeats this season, while the hosts have managed only 5 wins alongside 12 losses. Sutton United's recent form is particularly alarming—0 wins in the last 5 games and a mere 0.2 points per match, whereas Forest Green averages 2 points per match over the same period. The visitors' away stats are robust: a 50% win rate, higher xG (1.79 vs 1.53 for the hosts at home), and a better goal conversion rate. Furthermore, Forest Green boasts a significantly better goal difference (+6 away vs +1 for the hosts at home) and superior defensive solidity (1.08 goals conceded per away match vs 1.69 for the hosts at home). All key metrics favor an away victory, though a draw cannot be completely ruled out given Forest Green's relatively high away draw percentage (33%).
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sutton United | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forest Green Rovers is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Sutton United · 1.4 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forest Green Rovers is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.28 goals / match - Sutton United · 1.74 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers
Forest Green Rovers is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.72 goals / match - Sutton United · 1.13 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers
Sutton United scores in 72% of matches (33 of 46 matches), while Forest Green Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 47 matches).
Forest Green Rovers scores in 85% of matches (40 of 47 matches), while Sutton United keeps a clean sheet in 17% (8 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sutton United
Over / Under — Forest Green Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forest Green Rovers is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Sutton United · 1.4 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sutton United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Forest Green Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sutton United
Forest Green Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Sutton United | Liga | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.00 | 2.92 | • 2.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 56% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 57% | ▼ 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 24% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sutton United 0 - 0 - 1 Forest Green Rovers. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sutton United vs Forest Green Rovers?
The National League match finished Sutton United 1:1 Forest Green Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sutton United vs Forest Green Rovers?
Sutton United score 1.28 goals per game on average and Forest Green Rovers 1.74. The National League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Sutton United's matches and 64% of Forest Green Rovers's.
What form are Sutton United and Forest Green Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Sutton United have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Forest Green Rovers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sutton United vs Forest Green Rovers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sutton United vs Forest Green Rovers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.