Suwon Bluewings vs Asan Mugunghwa: match statistics

Suwon Bluewings sit top of the table and remain unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws with a 10:5 goal difference. Over the same period, Asan Mugunghwa have won 2 and lost 2, scoring and conceding 7 goals. At home, the hosts concede just 0.73 goals per match on average and keep a clean sheet in 55% of their games, while the visitors lose as many as 50% of their away matches and score an average of 1.00 goal. Suwon also have the more favorable chance-quality profile, with an average xG of 1.51, while Asan allow opponents 1.33 xG away from home. The visitors are capable of creating chances, averaging 1.66 xG and 5.3 shots on target per match, but they fail to score in 50% of away fixtures. Therefore, home advantage and the hosts’ more solid defensive structure support Suwon in this matchup.

Suwon has recorded BTTS in 75% of its league matches, well above Asan’s 40%, while both teams produced this outcome in 60% of their last five games. The hosts score an average of 1.75 goals per match, whereas Asan generates a solid 1.66 xG and registers 5.3 shots on target per game, increasing their chances of scoring. However, neither defense is completely watertight: Suwon concedes an average of 1.25 goals and Asan 1.20, with xG conceded standing at 1.44 and 1.33 respectively. In their last five matches, Suwon scored 10 goals and Asan 7, while the two teams conceded 5 and 7 goals respectively, supporting the Goal/Goal scenario. The main risk is that Asan has failed to score in 50% of its matches this season, but current attacking form and the hosts’ profile lean slightly towards BTTS - Yes.

Suwon averages 1.75 goals at home, while Asan concedes 1.20 goals away, which supports the likelihood of at least one home goal. However, the visitors create chances worth an average of 1.66 xG, while Suwon’s defense allows 1.44 xG on average, highlighting their clear attacking potential despite scoring only 1.00 goal per game on average. In their last five matches, both teams recorded games averaging 3.0 and 2.8 goals respectively, while Suwon scored 10 goals during this period. The Over 1.5 goals line was successful in 92% of Suwon’s matches and 60% of Asan’s, making Over 1.5 the strongest pick. The higher Over 2.5 line remains close to balanced, as Asan keeps a clean sheet in 30% of matches and only 30-33% of both teams’ games went above 3.5 goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Suwon Bluewings victory at full-time, as both teams had drawn at the break in 60% of their last five matches, while their average first-half goal tally was just 0.8 each. Across the season, Suwon led at the break in 5 of 12 matches, or 42%, whereas Asan Mugunghwa had never gone into half-time with the lead. After the break, the hosts are clearly stronger: in their last five matches, they averaged 1.6 goals in the second half and won it in 80% of games, while the visitors lost the second half in 60% of their matches. Suwon are also unbeaten in their last five league rounds, with three wins and two draws, while Asan have suffered two defeats during that period. The hosts’ superiority in the closing stages, combined with the visitors’ weaker overall away effectiveness—they win just 20% of their matches—supports a turnaround after half-time.