Suwon Bluewings vs Busan I'Park: match statistics
Suwon Bluewings vs Busan I'Park: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Suwon Bluewings played against Busan I'Park in K League 2 (South Korea). The game was played on April 25, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Suwon Bluewings has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Busan I'Park has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Suwon Bluewings scores 1.25 goals per game and allows 0.25. Busan I'Park scores 2.25 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.81 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 13% of Suwon Bluewings's games and 88% of Busan I'Park's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 75%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Busan I'Park has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.34 per game. Suwon Bluewings takes 9.9 shots per game, while Busan I'Park takes 12.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Suwon Bluewings leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Busan I'Park leads at halftime in 63% and scores 1.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
Suwon Bluewings's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). For Busan I'Park, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
K League 2 games average 2.81 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Busan I'Park appear to be the favorites: the visitors have scored 18 goals this season and average 2.5 goals per away match, while Suwon Bluewings have 10 goals this season and average 1.0 goal per home match. In their last 5 matches Busan have won 5 and scored 11 goals (averaging 3 points per match), whereas Suwon are 3-1-1 in their last 5 and have 5 goals (averaging 2 points per match). In chance creation Busan average 14.5 shots and 5.0 on target away with a 17% conversion and xG 1.63, compared to Suwon at home with 7.5 shots, 2.75 on target, 13% conversion and xG 1.14, indicating a clear offensive advantage for the visitors. Suwon look stronger defensively at home — conceding 0.5 goals per match and keeping 50% clean sheets, while Busan concede 1.25 goals away and have no clean sheets; nonetheless the efficiency and volume of created chances favor Busan I'Park. Therefore I back the away win with a probability distribution: home 15%, draw 20%, away 65%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Busan I'Park is the strongest signal: they have a seasonal BTTS 100% and 80% BTTS in the last 5 matches, scoring 2.5 goals per game on average with xG 1.63 and conceding 1.25 with xG against 1.55, which indicates they regularly both score and concede. Suwon Bluewings at home score 2.0 and concede 0.75 per game (xG 1.21 and xG against 1.24) and have a seasonal BTTS of 75%, however in the last 5 matches BTTS was 0% — in that period they scored a total of 5 and conceded only 1. Additionally, Busan averages 14.5 shots and 5.0 shots on target per game versus Suwon's 11.0 and 4.0, and the league averages 2.81 goals per match with BTTS 63%, which supports a both-teams-to-score scenario. The 100% seasonal BTTS weight for Busan and their high offensive numbers outweigh Suwon’s short-term BTTS drought, therefore I assign 'BTTS - Yes' 82% (against 18%) as the most likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams display high offensive potential: Suwon Bluewings average 2.0 goals per game, Busan I'Park 2.5, and the percentage of matches over 1.5 goals this season is 100% for both sides. xG confirms this picture: attacking xG is 1.21 for Suwon and 1.63 for Busan, while xG against is 1.24 (Suwon) and 1.55 (Busan), which yields estimated expected goals of 1.38 for Suwon and 1.44 for Busan, total 2.82. Additionally, Busan has 100% of matches over 2.5 goals this season, Suwon 50%, with average shots 11.0 (Suwon) and 14.5 (Busan) and shots on target 4.0 and 5.0, so I estimate a high probability for Over 2.5 goals (approx. 78%). Given the 100% season figures over 1.5 for both teams and the combined xG of 2.82, I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (estimated 96% for Over 1.5). I assess Over 3.5 as less likely (Over 34%), since only 25% of Suwon's matches and 50% of Busan's this season exceeded that threshold.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Busan I'Park performs strongly in the data: they have a 100% win rate in the comparison, score an average of 2.5 goals per game versus Suwon's 2.0, and record higher xG (1.63 vs 1.21), indicating superior chance creation. Busan often holds the lead at the break — 75% overall, and in the last five matches they led at half-time in 80% and scored 7 first-half goals across those games versus Suwon's 2 first-half goals. Suwon concedes on average only 0.25 goals by half-time and scores 1.0 by half-time, but they produce fewer shots and lower xG (11.0 shots and xG 1.21 vs Busan's 14.5 shots and xG 1.63). Both teams frequently score in matches: the percentage of games with goals from both sides is 75% for the home team and 100% for the away team, and additionally Busan has a higher average points per game (3.0 vs 2.5), which supports an away victory. Therefore I assign the 2/2 Half-Time/Full-Time outcome the highest probability at 45%, followed by a draw at half-time and away win (X/2) at 18%, with the remaining scenarios carrying smaller shares (e.g. 2/X 10%, 2/1 5%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Suwon Bluewings | Busan I'Park | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Busan I'Park is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Suwon Bluewings · 3 pts / game - Busan I'Park
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Busan I'Park is 80% better for: goals scored per game.
1.25 goals / game - Suwon Bluewings · 2.25 goals / game - Busan I'Park
Suwon Bluewings is 300% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.25 goals / game - Suwon Bluewings · 1 goals / game - Busan I'Park
Suwon Bluewings scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 meczów), while Busan I'Park keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 meczów).
Busan I'Park scores in 100% of games (8 of 8 meczów), while Suwon Bluewings keeps a clean sheet in 75% (6 of 8 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Suwon Bluewings
Over / Under - Busan I'Park
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Busan I'Park is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / game - Suwon Bluewings · 2.13 pts / game - Busan I'Park
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Suwon Bluewings - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Busan I'Park - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 63% of games and wins 88%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Suwon Bluewings
Busan I'Park
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 2).
Teams vs league
| Suwon Bluewings | Liga | Busan I'Park | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.50 | 2.81 | ▲ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 13% | 63% | ▲ 88% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 58% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 75% | 22% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 80% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Busan I'ParkYellow cardDong-Ryeol Choi
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Suwon Bluewings's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against Busan I'Park. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Suwon Bluewings vs Busan I'Park?
The K League 2 match finished Suwon Bluewings 3:2 Busan I'Park. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Suwon Bluewings and Busan I'Park?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Suwon Bluewings won 1, Busan I'Park won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Suwon Bluewings vs Busan I'Park?
Suwon Bluewings score 1.25 goals per game on average and Busan I'Park 2.25. The K League 2 average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 13% of Suwon Bluewings's matches and 88% of Busan I'Park's.
What form are Suwon Bluewings and Busan I'Park in?
Over the last 5 games Suwon Bluewings have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Busan I'Park 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Suwon Bluewings vs Busan I'Park?
The statistical background for Suwon Bluewings vs Busan I'Park — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.