Suwon vs Paju Citizen: match statistics
Suwon vs Paju Citizen: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Suwon played against Paju Citizen in K League 2 (South Korea). The game was played on March 29, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Suwon has 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Paju Citizen has 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.50 points per game.
Scoring records
Suwon scores 3.00 goals per game and allows 1.00. Paju Citizen scores 1.50 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 2.78 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 100% of Suwon's games and 50% of Paju Citizen's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 50%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Suwon has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.31 per game. Suwon takes 13.3 shots per game, while Paju Citizen takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Suwon leads at halftime in 67% of its games and scores 2.00 goals per game after halftime. Paju Citizen leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Suwon's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Paju Citizen, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
K League 2 games average 2.78 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Suwon hold a clear home advantage: 100% home wins, averaging 3 goals and 15 shots per home game with a 20% conversion. Paju Citizen have a decent attack but concede on average 2 goals away and display unstable form, weakening their prospects. The xG gap (Suwon 1.86 vs Paju 1.68) and higher shots on target favor the hosts. Both teams rarely finish scoreless (FTS% 0) and a combined goals average ~4 suggests an open game with goals from both sides. Therefore I tip a home win with moderately high probability.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Stats point to a high probability of BTTS: Paju has seasonal BTTS 100% and averages 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded, suggesting persistent defensive risk. Suwon’s last-5 form shows 80% BTTS and 2.2 goals/match, increasing the chance both teams score. The league features high BTTS (66%) and goals ~3.06, favoring both teams scoring. Although Suwon has season CS 50%, recent matches show more openness and higher xG for both sides, and Paju generates many shots on target. Considering form, xG and league tendencies, I recommend BTTS: YES.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Total xG (0.93 + 1.68) and opponents’ defensive metrics imply roughly ~2.74 goals in the match, indicating a moderately high chance of chance creation. Paju Citizen shows clear goal tendencies and BTTS (100% seasonally), while Suwon has increased shooting efficiency in the last 5 matches, raising the likelihood of goal exchanges. Shot and conversion stats (especially Paju’s advantage in shot volume) further boost the chance of more than 1.5 goals. Seasonal and league goal averages (≈3.06) and high over percentages for both teams confirm an Over selection. The strongest signal is over 1.5 as the most probable and safe line to play.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis points to a high chance of a half-time draw: both teams have 50% drawingAtHTPercentage and the home side keeps clean sheets at HT (seasonCSPercentageHT_home 100%). Paju Citizen displays a clear seasonal attacking edge (seasonAVG_away 4.0, xG_for_avg_away 1.68, shotsAVG_away 13.5), increasing the likelihood of turning the game in the second half. Hosts score more frequently late (goals_scored_min_76_to_90_home 1.0), while visitors score early (goals_scored_min_0_to_15_away 2.0), suggesting second-half decisive goals. High BTTS values in the league and for both teams point to both teams contributing to the scoreline, supporting a half-time draw and an away win at full-time. I therefore recommend HT/FT: X/2 as the most likely outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Suwon | Paju Citizen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.53 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Suwon is 100% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Suwon · 1.5 pts / game - Paju Citizen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Suwon is 100% better for: goals scored per game.
3 goals / game - Suwon · 1.5 goals / game - Paju Citizen
Suwon is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Suwon · 1.25 goals / game - Paju Citizen
Suwon scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Paju Citizen keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
Paju Citizen scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 meczów), while Suwon keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Suwon
Over / Under - Paju Citizen
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Suwon is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.33 pts / game - Suwon · 2 pts / game - Paju Citizen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Suwon - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Paju Citizen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Average goals per game | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 67% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Suwon
Paju Citizen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 2).
Teams vs league
| Suwon | Liga | Paju Citizen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.00 | 2.78 | • 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 68% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Suwon vs Paju Citizen?
The K League 2 match finished Suwon 2:1 Paju Citizen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Suwon vs Paju Citizen?
Suwon score 3.00 goals per game on average and Paju Citizen 1.50. The K League 2 average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Suwon's matches and 50% of Paju Citizen's.
What form are Suwon and Paju Citizen in?
Over the last 5 games Suwon have a 3-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Paju Citizen 2-0-2 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Suwon vs Paju Citizen?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


