Swansea City vs Derby County: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Swansea City played against Derby County in Championship (England). The game was played on November 25, 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Recent form

Swansea City has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Derby County has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Swansea City scores 0.94 goals per game and allows 1.38. Derby County scores 1.38 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 56% of Swansea City's games and 69% of Derby County's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 44%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Swansea City has the higher season xG average, 1.25 to 1.03 per game. Swansea City takes 11.0 shots per game, while Derby County takes 8.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Swansea City leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.69 goals per game after halftime. Derby County leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.81 after halftime.

When the teams score

Swansea City's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). For Derby County, it is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

73Possession (%)27
Swansea CityDerby County
9Shots13
Swansea CityDerby County
4Shots on target5
Swansea CityDerby County
1.37xG1.51
Swansea CityDerby County
4Corners2
Swansea CityDerby County
71Dangerous attacks47
Swansea CityDerby County
10Fouls20
Swansea CityDerby County
0Cards2
Swansea CityDerby County

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Swansea CityDerby County
0.94Goals scored / game1.38
Swansea CityDerby County
1.38Goals allowed / game1.38
Swansea CityDerby County
55%Average possession41%
Swansea CityDerby County
3.38Shots on target / game2.81
Swansea CityDerby County

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11Shots per game8.5
Swansea CityDerby County
3.38Shots on target2.81
Swansea CityDerby County
8.5%Shot conversion16.2%
Swansea CityDerby County
55%Possession41%
Swansea CityDerby County
1.25xG for1.03
Swansea CityDerby County
1.39xG against1.52
Swansea CityDerby County

Shooting quality

Swansea City: BalancedDerby County: Counter-attacking
Swansea CityDerby County
Accuracy (shots on target)31%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.49

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Derby County is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Swansea City · 2.4 pts / game - Derby County

Swansea City
WDLLL
Season result split
25% W31% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-5-7
1.06 pts / game · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-3
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
DLLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Derby County
WWWWL
Season result split
38% W31% R31% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-5
1.44 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-2
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WDLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Derby County is 47% better for: goals scored per game.

0.94 goals / game - Swansea City · 1.38 goals / game - Derby County

Swansea City scoring profile: very strong

Swansea City scores in 69% of games (11 of 16 meczów), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 meczów).

Derby County scoring profile: very strong

Derby County scores in 88% of games (14 of 16 meczów), while Swansea City keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 meczów).

15Goals scored (season)22
Swansea CityDerby County
22Goals conceded (season)22
Swansea CityDerby County
2.31Average goals per game2.75
Swansea CityDerby County
5Goals scored (last 5)10
Swansea CityDerby County
11Goals conceded (last 5)6
Swansea CityDerby County

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal88%
Swansea CityDerby County
25%2 goals38%
Swansea CityDerby County
0%3 goals13%
Swansea CityDerby County
0%4 goals0%
Swansea CityDerby County

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal81%
Swansea CityDerby County
31%2 goals25%
Swansea CityDerby County
19%3 goals19%
Swansea CityDerby County
6%4 goals6%
Swansea CityDerby County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time13%
Swansea CityDerby County
6%BTTS in both halves6%
Swansea CityDerby County
19%Scored in both halves25%
Swansea CityDerby County

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Swansea CityDerby County
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Swansea CityDerby County
80%BTTS - last 580%
Swansea CityDerby County

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
Swansea CityDerby County
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time19%
Swansea CityDerby County
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Swansea CityDerby County

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
Swansea CityDerby County
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
Swansea CityDerby County
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time31%
Swansea CityDerby County

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Derby County is 108% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.63 pts / game - Swansea City · 1.31 pts / game - Derby County

Swansea City - half-time state
0% leading63% draw38% trailing
Derby County - half-time state
31% leading38% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.63Points per game (1st half)1.31
Swansea CityDerby County
0.25Goals scored (1st half)0.56
Swansea CityDerby County
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Swansea CityDerby County
0.94Average goals (1st half)1.06
Swansea CityDerby County
38%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Swansea CityDerby County
75%No goal before half-time56%
Swansea CityDerby County

After half-time (2nd half)

1.31Points per game (2nd half)1.5
Swansea CityDerby County
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)0.81
Swansea CityDerby County
0.69Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
Swansea CityDerby County
1.38Average goals (2nd half)1.69
Swansea CityDerby County
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Swansea CityDerby County
38%No goal after half-time31%
Swansea CityDerby County

Swansea City - second-half results

31% W38% R31% P
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.63
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Derby County - second-half results

38% W38% R25% P
21
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Swansea City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.00
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game1.01.2
Average goals per game1.22.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-4-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Derby County - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game3.001.00
Goals scored / game1.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.01.2
Average goals per game1.22.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+6-2
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Swansea City
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
6
31-45
3
4
46-60
5
0
61-75
3
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Derby County
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
4
3
31-45
6
2
46-60
3
6
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.54
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Swansea City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
71%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Derby County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.96
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Swansea CityLigaDerby County
Average goals per game 2.312.57 2.75
Both teams scored 56%57% 69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 44%50% 44%
Clean sheets 19%25% 19%
Goal before half-time 63%73% 75%
Goal after half-time 81%75% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / game
1.25
Away goals / game
+6%
Home attack advantage
+5%
Home defensive advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Derby CountyGoalJoe WardAssist: Callum Elder
  2. Derby CountyGoalLars-Jørgen Salvesen
  3. Swansea CitySubstitutionOn: Gonçalo Baptista FrancoOff: Liam Cullen
  4. Derby CountySubstitutionOn: Kayden JacksonOff: Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
  5. Swansea CitySubstitutionOn: Zeidane InoussaOff: Ji-Sung Eom
  6. Derby CountyYellow cardBen Brereton
  7. Swansea CitySubstitutionOn: Adam Uche IdahOff: Žan Vipotnik
  8. Derby CountyYellow cardCallum Elder

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Andrew KitchenMatches officiated: 22
3.09Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 255%Home wins23%Draws23%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Swansea City vs Derby County?

The Championship match finished Swansea City 1:2 Derby County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Swansea City vs Derby County?

Swansea City score 0.94 goals per game on average and Derby County 1.38. The Championship average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Swansea City's matches and 69% of Derby County's.

What form are Swansea City and Derby County in?

Over the last 5 games Swansea City have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Derby County 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swansea City vs Derby County?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Swansea City vs Derby County: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.