Sweden vs Tunisia: match statistics
Sweden vs Tunisia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sweden play Tunisia in World Cup (International). The match date is 15 June 2026 at 04:00. Venue: Estadio BBVA Bancomer. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Sweden: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match. Tunisia: 0-0-3, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sweden scores 1.75 and concedes 2.50 goals per match. Tunisia scores 0.67 and concedes 4.00. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sweden 75%, Tunisia 67%. Over 2.5: Sweden 75%, Tunisia 100%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Sweden has higher xG: 1.51 vs 0.73. Sweden: 12.0 shots per match, Tunisia: 6.0.
Match halves
Sweden: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.25. Tunisia: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Sweden: 46-60 (2 goals). Tunisia: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
World Cup: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Sweden holds a slight favorite status, but Tunisia is hard to break down and typically performs well in low-tempo matches. The pick on Tunisia is a value play on the underdog, as the gap between the teams appears smaller than the odds imply. Our probability distribution: Sweden 39%, draw 28%, Tunisia 33%. At a price of 4.30 the model projects EV of approximately +41.9%, so the market price offers a tangible edge versus our valuation. Risks: Sweden’s aerial superiority and set-piece quality. Status: BET.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sweden | Tunisia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sweden is 161% better for: goals scored per match.
1.75 goals / match - Sweden · 0.67 goals / match - Tunisia
Sweden is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.5 goals / match - Sweden · 4 goals / match - Tunisia
Sweden scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Tunisia keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
Tunisia scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Sweden keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sweden
Over / Under — Tunisia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sweden - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tunisia - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 25% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sweden
Tunisia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (World Cup).
Teams vs league
| Sweden | Liga | Tunisia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.25 | 2.98 | ▲ 4.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 55% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 56% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 26% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 82% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Sweden vs Tunisia?
The World Cup match finished Sweden 5:1 Tunisia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sweden vs Tunisia?
Sweden score 1.75 goals per game on average and Tunisia 0.67. The World Cup average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Sweden's matches and 67% of Tunisia's.
What form are Sweden and Tunisia in?
Over the last 5 games Sweden have a 1-1-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Tunisia 0-0-3 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sweden vs Tunisia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sweden vs Tunisia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.