Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley: match statistics
Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Swindon Town play Accrington Stanley in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Swindon Town: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Accrington Stanley: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Swindon Town scores 1.52 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Accrington Stanley scores 1.02 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Swindon Town 59%, Accrington Stanley 41%. Over 2.5: Swindon Town 63%, Accrington Stanley 37%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Swindon Town has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.31. Swindon Town: 11.7 shots per match, Accrington Stanley: 11.7.
Match halves
Swindon Town: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.83. Accrington Stanley: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
Swindon Town: 76-90+ (19 goals). Accrington Stanley: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Swindon holds a clear home advantage: they won 52% of home matches, have a +12 home goal difference and scored 67 goals this season versus Accrington’s 42 for the whole season. Form favors the hosts – in the last 5 matches Swindon recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (1.6 points per game), while Accrington has only 1 win and 4 losses in that period (0.6 points per game). Swindon creates and converts more chances: on average 4.43 shots on target and 12.19 shots per home match with a 14% conversion and average xG 1.35, whereas Accrington away averages 3.52 shots on target, 10.9 shots, 8% conversion and xG 1.23. The difference in efficiency and possession (Swindon 53% possession at home vs 46% average for Accrington away) and the fact that the visitors fail to score in 48% of away games versus 14% for hosts further favor Swindon. Considering the edge in conversion (14% vs 8%), better form (1.6 vs 0.6 points per game) and lower xG against (1.30 vs 1.53), I assess Swindon has significantly higher chances and back their victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Swindon Town | Accrington Stanley | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Swindon Town is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Swindon Town · 0.4 pts / match - Accrington Stanley
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Swindon Town is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
1.52 goals / match - Swindon Town · 1.02 goals / match - Accrington Stanley
Swindon Town scores in 85% of matches (39 of 46 matches), while Accrington Stanley keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 46 matches).
Accrington Stanley scores in 61% of matches (28 of 46 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Swindon Town
Over / Under — Accrington Stanley
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Accrington Stanley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Swindon Town
Accrington Stanley
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Swindon Town | Liga | Accrington Stanley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.57 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 52% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 48% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 67% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Swindon Town 0 - 0 - 1 Accrington Stanley. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley?
The EFL League Two match finished Swindon Town 2:2 Accrington Stanley. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley?
Swindon Town score 1.52 goals per game on average and Accrington Stanley 1.02. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Swindon Town's matches and 41% of Accrington Stanley's.
What form are Swindon Town and Accrington Stanley in?
Over the last 5 games Swindon Town have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Accrington Stanley 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.