Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers: match statistics
Swindon Town presents decidedly better form and statistics at their own stadium. The hosts win 59% of home matches, scoring an average of 1.76 goals while conceding just 1.06, giving them a positive goal difference of +12 at home. Bristol Rovers copes very poorly on away trips with 69% losses, scoring on average only 0.88 goals while conceding 1.88 per match, which translates to a dramatic balance of -16. The form of both teams in the last five matches also speaks for the hosts (1.8 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), and Swindon has not lost in home clashes for several rounds. Taking all parameters into account, especially Swindon's efficiency at home and Bristol Rovers' problems away, a decisive victory for the hosts is the most probable scenario.
Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Swindon Town played against Bristol Rovers in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Swindon Town has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Bristol Rovers has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Swindon Town scores 1.65 goals per game and allows 1.18. Bristol Rovers scores 0.97 and allows 1.70. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Swindon Town's games and 42% of Bristol Rovers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 65% and 55%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Swindon Town has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.30 per game. Swindon Town takes 12.5 shots per game, while Bristol Rovers takes 11.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Swindon Town leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.82 goals per game after halftime. Bristol Rovers leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.48 after halftime.
When the teams score
Swindon Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Bristol Rovers, it is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Swindon Town presents decidedly better form and statistics at their own stadium. The hosts win 59% of home matches, scoring an average of 1.76 goals while conceding just 1.06, giving them a positive goal difference of +12 at home. Bristol Rovers copes very poorly on away trips with 69% losses, scoring on average only 0.88 goals while conceding 1.88 per match, which translates to a dramatic balance of -16. The form of both teams in the last five matches also speaks for the hosts (1.8 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), and Swindon has not lost in home clashes for several rounds. Taking all parameters into account, especially Swindon's efficiency at home and Bristol Rovers' problems away, a decisive victory for the hosts is the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Swindon Town | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Swindon Town is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Swindon Town · 1.2 pts / game - Bristol Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Swindon Town is 70% better for: goals scored per game.
1.65 goals / game - Swindon Town · 0.97 goals / game - Bristol Rovers
Swindon Town is 44% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.18 goals / game - Swindon Town · 1.7 goals / game - Bristol Rovers
Swindon Town scores in 85% of games (29 of 34 meczów), while Bristol Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 meczów).
Bristol Rovers scores in 58% of games (19 of 33 meczów), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Swindon Town
Over / Under - Bristol Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Swindon Town is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / game - Swindon Town · 1.12 pts / game - Bristol Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Bristol Rovers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -16 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Swindon Town
Bristol Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Swindon Town | Liga | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.82 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 53% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 47% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 26% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 69% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Swindon Town's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Bristol Rovers. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers?
The EFL League Two match finished Swindon Town 1:1 Bristol Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers?
Swindon Town score 1.65 goals per game on average and Bristol Rovers 0.97. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Swindon Town's matches and 42% of Bristol Rovers's.
What form are Swindon Town and Bristol Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Swindon Town have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Bristol Rovers 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.