Swindon Town vs Chesterfield: match statistics
Swindon Town vs Chesterfield: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Swindon Town play Chesterfield in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Swindon Town: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Chesterfield: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Swindon Town scores 1.52 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Chesterfield scores 1.48 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Swindon Town 59%, Chesterfield 58%. Over 2.5: Swindon Town 63%, Chesterfield 44%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Chesterfield has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.35. Swindon Town: 11.7 shots per match, Chesterfield: 12.1.
Match halves
Swindon Town: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.83. Chesterfield: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Swindon Town: 76-90+ (19 goals). Chesterfield: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Chesterfield shows significantly better form in the last five matches — scored 7 and conceded only 3, averaging 2.2 points per game; Swindon in the same period scored 5 and conceded as many as 11 and averages 1.0 point per game. This season at home Swindon scores 1.68 goals on average and has an average xG of 1.34, while Chesterfield away averages 1.41 goals with xG 1.30, so the quality of chances created is similar. Swindon registers more shots on target (4.5 per game) and has a higher conversion rate (14% vs 13% for the visitors), but the hosts’ issue is recent defending — despite conceding 1.14 goals at home on average, they have shipped 11 goals in the last 5 matches. The visitors also have higher away possession (58% vs 52%) and a lower share of goalless games (9% vs 14%), which increases their offensive stability. Considering form (2.2 vs 1.0 points per game), lower recent goals conceded (3 vs 11) and superiority in game control, I favor an away victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Swindon Town | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chesterfield is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Swindon Town · 1.6 pts / match - Chesterfield
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chesterfield is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Swindon Town · 1.19 goals / match - Chesterfield
Swindon Town scores in 85% of matches (39 of 46 matches), while Chesterfield keeps a clean sheet in 31% (15 of 48 matches).
Chesterfield scores in 85% of matches (41 of 48 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Swindon Town
Over / Under — Chesterfield
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chesterfield is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Swindon Town · 1.48 pts / match - Chesterfield
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Chesterfield - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Swindon Town | Liga | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 52% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 48% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 27% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 67% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Swindon Town 1 - 0 - 0 Chesterfield. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Swindon Town vs Chesterfield?
The EFL League Two match finished Swindon Town 1:2 Chesterfield. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Swindon Town vs Chesterfield?
Swindon Town score 1.52 goals per game on average and Chesterfield 1.48. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Swindon Town's matches and 58% of Chesterfield's.
What form are Swindon Town and Chesterfield in?
Over the last 5 games Swindon Town have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Chesterfield 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swindon Town vs Chesterfield?
The statistical background for Swindon Town vs Chesterfield — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


