Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra: match statistics
Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Swindon Town played against Crewe Alexandra in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Swindon Town has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Crewe Alexandra has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Swindon Town scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.44. Crewe Alexandra scores 1.22 and allows 0.78. Games in this league average 2.53 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Swindon Town's games and 67% of Crewe Alexandra's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 22%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Crewe Alexandra has the higher season xG average, 1.29 to 1.07 per game. Swindon Town takes 9.1 shots per game, while Crewe Alexandra takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Swindon Town leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Crewe Alexandra leads at halftime in 11% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Swindon Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Crewe Alexandra, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.53 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Swindon Town have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring just 2 goals in that run, while Crewe Alexandra remain unbeaten this season, with a record of 3 wins and 6 draws. However, the hosts have home advantage: they have won 3 of their 4 home matches and average 2.25 goals per game on their own ground. The visitors concede just 0.5 goals per game away from home, but average only 0.75 goals scored, and 3 of their 4 away matches have ended in a draw. The quality of chances created also points to no clear favorite: Swindon’s home xG is 1.34, while Crewe’s away xG is 1.22. The hosts’ recent poor form offsets their home advantage, making a draw the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 80% of Swindon’s home matches, while both teams scored in each of Crewe’s last five games, supporting a BTTS - Yes pick. The visitors have averaged 2.0 goals recently, while the hosts have conceded 1.4 per match, making a Crewe goal look likely. Swindon finding the net is less certain: the team has averaged just 0.4 goals per game across its last five appearances, although its home average is 1.6, and Crewe have recently allowed opponents chances worth 1.59 xG. Since Crewe kept a clean sheet in 50% of its away matches, the case for both teams to score is moderate rather than strong.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been breached in Crewe’s away matches, while it has been breached in 40% of Swindon’s home games. Crewe concede an average of just 0.5 goals away from home and keep a clean sheet in 50% of those matches, limiting the hosts’ potential despite their average of 1.6 goals scored at home. Swindon, meanwhile, have scored just 2 goals in total across their last five matches, although Crewe have netted 10 over the same period, so a completely cagey game should not be assumed either. The projected total of 2.18 goals remains below the league average of 2.53, giving the Under 3.5 line a clearer edge than the more demanding 2.5-goal line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely outcome is a draw at half-time and a Crewe win at full-time. In their last five matches, Swindon were level at the break four times and Crewe twice; away from home, the visitors went into half-time level in 75% of their matches. Current form points to a turnaround: Swindon have lost four of their last five games and averaged 0.4 goals in them, while Crewe have not lost any and scored an average of 2.0 goals. The second half is particularly significant: in their last five matches, the hosts have failed to score after the break and conceded an average of 0.8 goals, while the visitors averaged 0.8 goals in that period. The risk to this HT/FT pick is Crewe’s tendency to draw away, with draws accounting for 75% of their matches on the road so far.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Swindon Town | Crewe Alexandra | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Crewe Alexandra is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Swindon Town · 1.4 pts / game - Crewe Alexandra
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Crewe Alexandra is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Swindon Town · 1.22 goals / game - Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra is 85% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.44 goals / game - Swindon Town · 0.78 goals / game - Crewe Alexandra
Swindon Town scores in 44% of games (4 of 9 games), while Crewe Alexandra keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 games).
Crewe Alexandra scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Swindon Town
Over / Under - Crewe Alexandra
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Crewe Alexandra is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / game - Swindon Town · 1 pts / game - Crewe Alexandra
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Crewe Alexandra - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Swindon Town
Crewe Alexandra
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Swindon Town | Liga | Crewe Alexandra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.44 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 45% | ▼ 22% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 28% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Swindon Town's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Crewe Alexandra. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra?
The EFL League Two match finished Swindon Town 0:1 Crewe Alexandra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Swindon Town won 1, Crewe Alexandra won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra?
Swindon Town score 1.00 goals per game on average and Crewe Alexandra 1.22. The EFL League Two average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Swindon Town's matches and 67% of Crewe Alexandra's.
What form are Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra in?
Over the last 5 games Swindon Town have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Crewe Alexandra 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.