Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Swindon Town played against Grimsby Town in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on November 22, 2025. Final score: 2:2.

Recent form

Swindon Town has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Grimsby Town has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Swindon Town scores 1.69 goals per game and allows 1.31. Grimsby Town scores 1.81 and allows 1.31. Games in this league average 2.62 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 63% of Swindon Town's games and 56% of Grimsby Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 69% and 56%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Grimsby Town has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.46 per game. Swindon Town takes 12.9 shots per game, while Grimsby Town takes 14.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Swindon Town leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 0.69 goals per game after halftime. Grimsby Town leads at halftime in 44% and scores 0.81 after halftime.

When the teams score

Swindon Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Grimsby Town, it is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League Two games average 2.62 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

2 : 2
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

42Possession (%)58
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
15Shots15
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
6Shots on target6
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
1.76xG1.81
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
6Corners8
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
54Dangerous attacks61
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
17Fouls7
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
2Cards2
Swindon TownGrimsby Town

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Swindon TownGrimsby Town
1.69Goals scored / game1.81
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
1.31Goals allowed / game1.31
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
54%Average possession59%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
5.06Shots on target / game5
Swindon TownGrimsby Town

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.88Shots per game14.88
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
5.06Shots on target5
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
13.1%Shot conversion12.2%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
54%Possession59%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
1.46xG for1.67
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
1.26xG against1.18
Swindon TownGrimsby Town

Shooting quality

Swindon Town: Efficient finishingGrimsby Town: Dominant
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
Accuracy (shots on target)39%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Swindon Town is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Swindon Town · 0.8 pts / game - Grimsby Town

Swindon Town
LDDWD
Season result split
56% W19% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-3-4
1.88 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-1
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWDDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Grimsby Town
LWLDL
Season result split
44% W25% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-5
1.56 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLWLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Grimsby Town is 7% better for: goals scored per game.

1.69 goals / game - Swindon Town · 1.81 goals / game - Grimsby Town

Swindon Town scoring profile: very strong

Swindon Town scores in 81% of games (13 of 16 meczów), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 meczów).

Grimsby Town scoring profile: very strong

Grimsby Town scores in 81% of games (13 of 16 meczów), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 meczów).

27Goals scored (season)29
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
21Goals conceded (season)21
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
3Average goals per game3.13
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
5Goals scored (last 5)6
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
8Goals conceded (last 5)8
Swindon TownGrimsby Town

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal81%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
63%2 goals50%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
25%3 goals25%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
0%4 goals6%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal75%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
38%2 goals38%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
13%3 goals19%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
6%4 goals0%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time25%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
13%BTTS in both halves0%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
31%Scored in both halves19%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
60%BTTS - last 560%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
56%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time31%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Swindon Town - half-time state
44% leading38% draw19% trailing
Grimsby Town - half-time state
44% leading38% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.69Points per game (1st half)1.69
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
1Goals scored (1st half)1
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
1.56Average goals (1st half)1.5
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
50%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
38%No goal before half-time44%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per game (2nd half)1.19
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)0.81
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.81
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
1.44Average goals (2nd half)1.63
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
44%Clean sheet after half-time44%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town
50%No goal after half-time56%
Swindon TownGrimsby Town

Swindon Town - second-half results

19% W69% D13% L
27
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.69
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Grimsby Town - second-half results

31% W25% D44% L
27
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.69
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Swindon Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.20
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.61.0
Average goals per game1.01.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Grimsby Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.60
Goals scored / game1.00.2
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game1.81.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Swindon Town
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
2
1
16-30
8
2
31-45
2
0
46-60
2
3
61-75
7
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Grimsby Town
ScoredConceded
7
0
0-15
5
3
16-30
4
5
31-45
3
4
46-60
4
6
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.06
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
117%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Swindon Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.68
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Grimsby Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
150%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.76
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Swindon TownLigaGrimsby Town
Average goals per game 3.002.62 3.13
Both teams scored 63%56% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 69%48% 56%
Clean sheets 25%25% 25%
Goal before half-time 81%70% 75%
Goal after half-time 63%75% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / game
1.21
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defensive advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Swindon TownYellow cardGavin Kilkenny
  2. Grimsby TownGoalDaniel Antony Rose
  3. Grimsby TownYellow cardGeza David Turi
  4. Grimsby TownSubstitutionOn: Evan KhouriOff: Geza David Turi
  5. Swindon TownYellow cardJake Tabor
  6. Grimsby TownSubstitutionOn: Jaze KabiaOff: Daniel Antony Rose
  7. Grimsby TownYellow cardGeorge McEachran
  8. Grimsby TownSubstitutionOn: Jamie WalkerOff: Kieran Green

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Oliver YatesMatches officiated: 9
3.22Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 256%Home wins33%Draws11%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town?

The EFL League Two match finished Swindon Town 2:2 Grimsby Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town?

Swindon Town score 1.69 goals per game on average and Grimsby Town 1.81. The EFL League Two average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Swindon Town's matches and 56% of Grimsby Town's.

What form are Swindon Town and Grimsby Town in?

Over the last 5 games Swindon Town have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Grimsby Town 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.