Swindon Town vs Oldham Athletic: match statistics
Swindon Town shows solid home form with a 57% win rate at their ground and an impressive average of 1.71 goals per match. The hosts occupy 4th place in the table, confirming their promotion aspirations, although their recent overall form (2 wins in 5 matches) raises some concerns. Oldham Athletic has a balanced away record (31% wins, 38% draws), but the high FTS% rate of 38% is concerning, indicating difficulties in scoring away from home. A key factor is Swindon's advantage in ball possession (52% vs 45%) and their superior home goal difference (+8). Considering the xG statistics, where Swindon has 1.39 xG For at home compared to Oldham's 1.54 xG For away, I expect a balanced match with a slight edge for the hosts, who should capitalize on their home advantage.
Swindon Town vs Oldham Athletic: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Swindon Town played against Oldham Athletic in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on February 7, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Swindon Town has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Oldham Athletic has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Swindon Town scores 1.62 goals per game and allows 1.17. Oldham Athletic scores 1.04 and allows 0.96. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Swindon Town's games and 44% of Oldham Athletic's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 41%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Oldham Athletic has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.45 per game. Swindon Town takes 12.8 shots per game, while Oldham Athletic takes 13.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Swindon Town leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.72 goals per game after halftime. Oldham Athletic leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Swindon Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Oldham Athletic, it is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Swindon Town shows solid home form with a 57% win rate at their ground and an impressive average of 1.71 goals per match. The hosts occupy 4th place in the table, confirming their promotion aspirations, although their recent overall form (2 wins in 5 matches) raises some concerns. Oldham Athletic has a balanced away record (31% wins, 38% draws), but the high FTS% rate of 38% is concerning, indicating difficulties in scoring away from home. A key factor is Swindon's advantage in ball possession (52% vs 45%) and their superior home goal difference (+8). Considering the xG statistics, where Swindon has 1.39 xG For at home compared to Oldham's 1.54 xG For away, I expect a balanced match with a slight edge for the hosts, who should capitalize on their home advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Swindon Town | Oldham Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Oldham Athletic is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Swindon Town · 1.4 pts / game - Oldham Athletic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Swindon Town is 56% better for: goals scored per game.
1.62 goals / game - Swindon Town · 1.04 goals / game - Oldham Athletic
Oldham Athletic is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.17 goals / game - Swindon Town · 0.96 goals / game - Oldham Athletic
Swindon Town scores in 83% of games (24 of 29 meczów), while Oldham Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 meczów).
Oldham Athletic scores in 63% of games (17 of 27 meczów), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Swindon Town
Over / Under - Oldham Athletic
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Swindon Town is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / game - Swindon Town · 0.96 pts / game - Oldham Athletic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Oldham Athletic - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Swindon Town
Oldham Athletic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Swindon Town | Liga | Oldham Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.79 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 54% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 48% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 26% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 69% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 76% | ▼ 52% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Swindon Town's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Oldham Athletic. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Swindon Town vs Oldham Athletic?
The EFL League Two match finished Swindon Town 3:0 Oldham Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Swindon Town vs Oldham Athletic?
Swindon Town score 1.62 goals per game on average and Oldham Athletic 1.04. The EFL League Two average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Swindon Town's matches and 44% of Oldham Athletic's.
What form are Swindon Town and Oldham Athletic in?
Over the last 5 games Swindon Town have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Oldham Athletic 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swindon Town vs Oldham Athletic?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.