Swindon Town vs Salford City: match statistics
The match shapes up to be a very even contest between two top-table teams. Swindon Town presents solid home form with 58% wins at home and a +7 goal difference, though their last five home fixtures show some fluctuations in form. Salford City is in phenomenal shape, winning four of their last five matches and scoring 10 goals in that period, yielding 2.6 points per match. A key factor is the visitors' advantage in Expected Goals (xG 1.43 vs 1.34), suggesting higher attacking efficiency on the road. Considering the close possession stats (both teams at 51%), similar average shots per match, and the fact that Salford has a 50% away win rate with only 8% draws, I expect a fierce encounter with a slight edge for the hosts, which may end in a share of the points.
Swindon Town vs Salford City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Swindon Town played against Salford City in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on January 17, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Swindon Town has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Salford City has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Swindon Town scores 1.63 goals per game and allows 1.08. Salford City scores 1.46 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Swindon Town's games and 58% of Salford City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 50%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Salford City has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.42 per game. Swindon Town takes 12.6 shots per game, while Salford City takes 14.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Swindon Town leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Salford City leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.75 after halftime.
When the teams score
Swindon Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (9 goals). For Salford City, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match shapes up to be a very even contest between two top-table teams. Swindon Town presents solid home form with 58% wins at home and a +7 goal difference, though their last five home fixtures show some fluctuations in form. Salford City is in phenomenal shape, winning four of their last five matches and scoring 10 goals in that period, yielding 2.6 points per match. A key factor is the visitors' advantage in Expected Goals (xG 1.43 vs 1.34), suggesting higher attacking efficiency on the road. Considering the close possession stats (both teams at 51%), similar average shots per match, and the fact that Salford has a 50% away win rate with only 8% draws, I expect a fierce encounter with a slight edge for the hosts, which may end in a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Swindon Town | Salford City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Salford City is 8% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Swindon Town · 2.6 pts / game - Salford City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Swindon Town is 12% better for: goals scored per game.
1.63 goals / game - Swindon Town · 1.46 goals / game - Salford City
Swindon Town is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.08 goals / game - Swindon Town · 1.29 goals / game - Salford City
Swindon Town scores in 79% of games (19 of 24 meczów), while Salford City keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 meczów).
Salford City scores in 71% of games (17 of 24 meczów), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Swindon Town
Over / Under - Salford City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 58%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Salford City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 54%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Swindon Town
Salford City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Swindon Town | Liga | Salford City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.71 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Swindon Town's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Salford City. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Swindon Town vs Salford City?
The EFL League Two match finished Swindon Town 2:3 Salford City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Swindon Town vs Salford City?
Swindon Town score 1.63 goals per game on average and Salford City 1.46. The EFL League Two average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Swindon Town's matches and 58% of Salford City's.
What form are Swindon Town and Salford City in?
Over the last 5 games Swindon Town have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Salford City 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swindon Town vs Salford City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.