Swit vs Olimpia Zambrów: match statistics

Olimpia Zambrów have produced a clearly stronger run of form: they remain unbeaten in their last 5 matches, winning 3 and drawing 2, while Świt have lost 3 of their 5 outings. The visitors have scored 14 goals over this period—an average of 2.8 per match—compared with Świt’s 9, while conceding just 2 goals to the hosts’ 11. The average points tally from the last five matches also favors Olimpia: 2.2 versus 1.2. Świt did win the only previous meeting this season, but the hosts’ defense has been noticeably less stable in its current form. An away win for Olimpia is therefore the most likely outcome, although Świt’s home advantage increases the chances of a closely contested match.

The latest form clearly favors both teams scoring: Świt has recorded BTTS in 80% of its last five matches, while Olimpia Zambrów has done so in 40%. During this period, the hosts averaged 1.8 goals scored but conceded as many as 2.2 per match, with an xG against them of 1.71, giving Olimpia a realistic route to a goal. Olimpia is highly effective offensively, scoring 14 goals in five matches—an average of 2.8 per game—while its average xG stands at 1.50. Świt also creates chances, generating 1.82 xG across its last five appearances, while the league has a high BTTS rate of 78%. Although Olimpia has conceded just 2 goals in its last five matches, the combination of its attacking strength and Świt’s leaky defense points slightly more strongly toward BTTS - Yes.

Świt’s last five matches produced an average of 4.0 goals, with the team scoring 1.8 but conceding as many as 2.2. Olimpia Zambrów are in excellent attacking form, averaging 2.8 goals per match in their last five outings, with an xG of 1.50. The hosts allowed opponents an xG of 1.71, which supports the prospect of the visitors scoring at least once, although Olimpia conceded just 0.4 goals per match, limiting Świt’s attacking potential. In addition, the league average stands at a high 3.89 goals, while 89% of matches have gone Over 2.5 goals. The strongest signal remains Over 1.5, as the projected total of 3.00 goals provides a clear buffer above this line.

The strongest signal points to Olimpia Zambrów leading at the break and maintaining their advantage through to the final whistle. In their last five matches, the visitors averaged 2.8 goals scored and conceded just 0.4, while averaging 2.0 goals before half-time without conceding any. Olimpia were leading at half-time in 100% of those matches, whereas Świt failed to score in any of them and conceded an average of 0.75 goals. The visitors also look very solid after the interval: they average 3.0 goals scored without conceding, while Świt allows opponents to score 1.25 goals. The home side’s season data is highly favorable, but it is based on just one match; therefore, Olimpia’s clearly superior and more extensive recent form carries greater weight in the 2/2 scenario.