Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs: match statistics
Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tacoma Defiance play Real Monarchs in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 22 June 2026 at 04:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Tacoma Defiance: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Real Monarchs: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tacoma Defiance scores 1.21 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Real Monarchs scores 1.63 and concedes 1.84. League average: 3.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tacoma Defiance 42%, Real Monarchs 63%. Over 2.5: Tacoma Defiance 53%, Real Monarchs 74%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Real Monarchs has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.36. Tacoma Defiance: 11.7 shots per match, Real Monarchs: 14.2.
Match halves
Tacoma Defiance: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.79. Real Monarchs: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Tacoma Defiance: 46-60 (9 goals). Real Monarchs: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 1-1-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 75%.
Match description
I predict a draw (X). Tacoma averages 1.25 goals scored and concedes 1.00 at home (home goal difference +2), while Real Monarchs averages 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded away, so the hosts’ defensive edge offsets the visitors’ greater attacking output. xG metrics are very close: Tacoma xG at home 1.46 versus Real’s 1.51 xG away, with xG against 1.47 vs 1.52, suggesting balanced goal-scoring opportunities. Real is more efficient — conversion rate 15% versus Tacoma’s 10% and 24 goals scored this season versus 15 for the hosts, but in the last 5 matches both teams have 3 wins, with Real scoring 10 goals and Tacoma 5. Considering similar points per game in the last 5 (1.8 PPG each), comparable xG and Tacoma’s home defensive advantage, a share of the points is the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tacoma Defiance | Real Monarchs | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tacoma Defiance is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Tacoma Defiance · 0.8 pts / match - Real Monarchs
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Monarchs is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Tacoma Defiance · 1.63 goals / match - Real Monarchs
Tacoma Defiance is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Tacoma Defiance · 1.84 goals / match - Real Monarchs
Tacoma Defiance scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Real Monarchs keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
Real Monarchs scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Tacoma Defiance keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tacoma Defiance
Over / Under — Real Monarchs
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Monarchs is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Tacoma Defiance · 1.37 pts / match - Real Monarchs
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tacoma Defiance - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Real Monarchs - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 32%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tacoma Defiance
Real Monarchs
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Tacoma Defiance | Liga | Real Monarchs | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.58 | 3.22 | ▲ 3.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 61% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 65% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 22% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 75% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | • 84% | 84% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Tacoma Defiance 1 - 1 - 2 Real Monarchs. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Tacoma Defiance 1:0 Real Monarchs. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tacoma Defiance and Real Monarchs?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Tacoma Defiance won 1, Real Monarchs won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs?
Tacoma Defiance score 1.21 goals per game on average and Real Monarchs 1.63. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Tacoma Defiance's matches and 63% of Real Monarchs's.
What form are Tacoma Defiance and Real Monarchs in?
Over the last 5 games Tacoma Defiance have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Real Monarchs 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs?
The statistical background for Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.