Tacuary vs 12 de Junio VH: match statistics

12 de Junio VH sit 2nd, while Tacuary are only 14th, and the visitors’ overall season record stands at 13 wins and 4 defeats, compared with the hosts’ mere 3 victories. Tacuary remain winless in their last five matches, scoring just 2 goals during that run, whereas 12 de Junio VH have scored 7 goals and collected 8 points. Away from home, the visitors win 64% of their matches and lose only 9%, while their defense concedes an average of 0.55 goals per game, with an xG against of 0.94. The hosts score an average of 1.00 goals at home, fail to score in 45% of such matches, and face an opponent that keeps a clean sheet in 45% of away games. The visitors’ advantage is also evident in chance creation: their average away xG is 1.36, compared with Tacuary’s 1.40 at home, but they are significantly more efficient, converting 13% of their shots into goals compared with 10% for the hosts.

Tacuary has a seasonal BTTS rate of 58%, while 12 de Junio VH stands at just 45%, with the visitors keeping a clean sheet in 45% of their matches. The strongest signal against both teams scoring comes from the hosts’ current attacking form: they have scored just 2 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 per game, with BTTS at 40%. 12 de Junio VH’s defense concedes only 0.55 goals per match this season, while its average xG against is 0.94, significantly limiting Tacuary’s chances of breaking through. The visitors are in better scoring form, averaging 1.4 goals per game across their last five appearances, so the BTTS - No outcome does not primarily indicate a goalless draw, but rather a potential one-sided victory with a clean sheet. Although Tacuary’s average xG is 1.64 and the league BTTS rate is 56%, the hosts’ poor recent finishing and the opponents’ solid defense give a slight edge to the “No” scenario.

The strongest signal is the low potential for a very high-scoring game: 12 de Junio concede just 0.55 goals per match on average and have not conceded at least two goals in any game this season. Tacuary have scored just 2 goals in their last five appearances, averaging 0.4 per match, despite recording an average xG of 1.48 over that period. 12 de Junio’s matches finished under 3.5 goals in as many as 91% of cases, while the figure for Tacuary is also a solid 67%. Both teams recorded Over 2.5 goals in only 20% of their last five matches, confirming that a maximum of three goals is the more likely scenario. The visitors are in better form and have recently been scoring 1.4 goals per match, but their overall profile, combined with a very solid defense, supports Under 3.5 more strongly than an open game.

The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a win for 12 de Junio VH, as both teams often start cautiously: Tacuary were level at the break in 64% of their matches, compared with 55% for the visitors. 12 de Junio VH’s defense is particularly solid before half-time, conceding an average of just 0.09 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 91% of first halves. After the break, the visitors should have the advantage in terms of form: they have scored an average of 0.6 goals in their last five matches, while Tacuary have failed to score in any second half. Tacuary are without a win in their last five appearances, scoring just 0.4 goals per match during this period, whereas 12 de Junio VH average 1.4 goals and have lost only 20% of those games. Over the season, the visitors have also shown greater consistency, winning 64% of their matches and losing just 9%, while their average goals conceded stands at only 0.55 compared with 1.25 for the hosts.