Paraguay - Division IntermediaEstadio Toribio VargasData current as of October 17, 2026

Tacuary vs Independiente FBC: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Tacuary vs Independiente FBC: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Tacuary plays Independiente FBC in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The game is scheduled for October 20, 2026. Venue: Estadio Toribio Vargas.

Recent form

Tacuary has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Independiente FBC has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Tacuary scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 1.68. Independiente FBC scores 1.54 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 2.64 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 64% of Tacuary's games and 57% of Independiente FBC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 50%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Independiente FBC has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.25 per game. Tacuary takes 8.4 shots per game, while Independiente FBC takes 10.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Tacuary leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Independiente FBC leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.82 after halftime.

When the teams score

Tacuary's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Independiente FBC, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Division Intermedia games average 2.64 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.72)
(3.52)
(1.80)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

TacuaryIndependiente FBC
1.14Goals scored / game1.54
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
1.68Goals allowed / game1.25
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
47%Average possession51%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
3.54Shots on target / game4.11
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.43Shots per game10.43
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
3.54Shots on target4.11
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
13.6%Shot conversion14.7%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
47%Possession51%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
1.25xG for1.42
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
1.53xG against1.36
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

Shooting quality

Tacuary: Counter-attackingIndependiente FBC: Efficient finishing
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
Accuracy (shots on target)42%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Independiente FBC is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Tacuary · 2.4 pts / game - Independiente FBC

Tacuary
LDWLL
Season result split
14% W43% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-12-12
0.86 pts / game · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-4-7
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.85BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Independiente FBC
WWLWW
Season result split
39% W36% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-7
1.54 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
6-5-3
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Independiente FBC is 35% better for: goals scored per game.

1.14 goals / game - Tacuary · 1.54 goals / game - Independiente FBC

Independiente FBC is 34% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.68 goals / game - Tacuary · 1.25 goals / game - Independiente FBC

Tacuary scoring profile: strong

Tacuary scores in 71% of games (20 of 28 games), while Independiente FBC keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 games).

Independiente FBC scoring profile: very strong

Independiente FBC scores in 82% of games (23 of 28 games), while Tacuary keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 games).

32Goals scored (season)43
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
47Goals conceded (season)35
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
2.82Average goals per game2.79
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
7Goals scored (last 5)11
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
10Goals conceded (last 5)3
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal82%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
36%2 goals54%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
4%3 goals14%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
4%4 goals4%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal64%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
57%2 goals39%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
21%3 goals11%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
7%4 goals7%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time32%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
7%BTTS in both halves4%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
11%Scored in both halves25%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
80%BTTS - last 520%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
32%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Independiente FBC is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Tacuary · 1.14 pts / game - Independiente FBC

Tacuary - half-time state
18% leading46% draw36% trailing
Independiente FBC - half-time state
21% leading50% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.14
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
0.46Goals scored (1st half)0.71
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.79
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
1.18Average goals (1st half)1.5
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
36%Clean sheet before half-time50%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
61%No goal before half-time50%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per game (2nd half)1.57
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)0.82
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
0.96Goals conceded (2nd half)0.46
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
1.64Average goals (2nd half)1.29
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
36%Clean sheet after half-time64%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
57%No goal after half-time43%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

Tacuary - second-half results

25% W36% D39% L
28
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding78%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Independiente FBC - second-half results

39% W39% D21% L
32
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding186%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Tacuary - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.20
Goals scored / game0.21.2
Goals allowed / game0.81.2
Average goals per game1.02.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Independiente FBC - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.00
Goals scored / game0.61.6
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game0.82.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+2+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Tacuary
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
3
8
16-30
5
10
31-45
5
7
46-60
5
6
61-75
9
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Independiente FBC
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
7
9
16-30
9
10
31-45
3
3
46-60
9
1
61-75
11
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.80
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Tacuary

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
131%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Independiente FBC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.86
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).

Teams vs league

TacuaryLigaIndependiente FBC
Average goals per game▲ 2.822.64▲ 2.79
Both teams scored▲ 64%57%• 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 54%47%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 18%25%▲ 36%
Goal before half-time▲ 75%67%• 68%
Goal after half-time▼ 71%75%• 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.36
Home goals / game
1.28
Away goals / game
+6%
Home attack advantage
+6%
Home defensive advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Tacuary's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Independiente FBC. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

Independiente FBC
2 : 2
Tacuary
Tacuary FC
1 : 0
Independiente FBC Campo Grande
Independiente FBC Campo Grande
0 : 1
Tacuary FC

FAQ

When do Tacuary and Independiente FBC play?

Tacuary face Independiente FBC on October 20, 2026 in Division Intermedia at Estadio Toribio Vargas. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tacuary and Independiente FBC?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Tacuary won 2, Independiente FBC won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tacuary vs Independiente FBC?

Tacuary score 1.14 goals per game on average and Independiente FBC 1.54. The Division Intermedia average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Tacuary's matches and 57% of Independiente FBC's.

What form are Tacuary and Independiente FBC in?

Over the last 5 games Tacuary have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Independiente FBC 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tacuary vs Independiente FBC?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tacuary vs Independiente FBC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.