Tacuary vs Paraguarí: match statistics
Tacuary vs Paraguarí: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tacuary played against Paraguarí in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The game was played on October 9, 2026. Venue: Estadio Toribio Vargas. Final score: 2:4.
Recent form
Tacuary has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Paraguarí has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Tacuary scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 1.59. Paraguarí scores 1.33 and allows 1.30. Games in this league average 2.59 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Tacuary's games and 56% of Paraguarí's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 48%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Paraguarí has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 1.22 per game. Tacuary takes 8.2 shots per game, while Paraguarí takes 9.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Tacuary leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Paraguarí leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.89 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tacuary's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Paraguarí, it is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Division Intermedia games average 2.59 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paraguarí head into the match in clearly better form: they have won 4 of their last 5 games and scored 11 goals in that run, while Tacuary have recorded 1 win and scored 6 goals. The visitors are also higher in the table, sitting 8th compared with the hosts in 15th, and create slightly better chances away from home: their average xG is 1.41, compared with Tacuary's 1.36 at home. However, Paraguarí's advantage is not decisive, as both teams have won just 23% of their matches away and at home, respectively. Moreover, the visitors concede an average of 1.69 goals on the road, more than Tacuary's 1.46 at home. So despite their edge in recent form, a draw or a home win remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the last 5 matches involving the two teams, both sides scored in 80% of games, a clear signal in favor of BTTS - Yes. Tacuary average 1.43 goals at home, while Paraguarí score 1.23 away, giving both teams a solid basis to find the net. The visitors concede an average of 1.69 goals away from home and keep a clean sheet in just 15% of matches, which particularly boosts the hosts’ scoring prospects. Meanwhile, Tacuary have conceded an average of 1.4 goals across their last 5 matches, while Paraguarí have scored 2.2 goals per game. Some caution is warranted because the visitors have failed to score in 31% of their away matches, but the overall data points towards both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Tacuary average 1.43 goals per match, while Paraguarí concede 1.69, supporting the case for the hosts to score at least once. The visitors average 1.23 goals, and have scored 11 times across their last five matches, although their xG over that span was just 1.09 per match. At least two goals were scored in 57% of Tacuary’s matches and 77% of Paraguarí’s, while both teams scored in 80% of each side’s last five games. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick; the higher Over 2.5 line is less well supported by full-season data, having landed in 43% and 54% of their matches, respectively.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: Tacuary were level at the break in 57% of their matches, compared with 38% for Paraguarí. Although the hosts won more often than the visitors over the full season (57% versus 23%), the last five matches shift the picture: Paraguarí won four, while Tacuary won just one. The visitors averaged 2.2 goals per match over this period, compared with 1.2 for the hosts, increasing the likelihood that they will edge a closely contested game. Their post-half-time form is particularly strong: they won the second half in four of their last five matches and averaged 1.6 goals in that period, while Tacuary scored 0.8. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by a Paraguarí win at full-time is the strongest single HT/FT scenario, although Tacuary’s season-long results still point to a significant chance of a home win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tacuary | Paraguarí | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Paraguarí is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Tacuary · 2.4 pts / game - Paraguarí
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paraguarí is 20% better for: goals scored per game.
1.11 goals / game - Tacuary · 1.33 goals / game - Paraguarí
Paraguarí is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.59 goals / game - Tacuary · 1.3 goals / game - Paraguarí
Tacuary scores in 70% of games (19 of 27 games), while Paraguarí keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 games).
Paraguarí scores in 74% of games (20 of 27 games), while Tacuary keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tacuary
Over / Under - Paraguarí
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paraguarí is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / game - Tacuary · 1.15 pts / game - Paraguarí
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tacuary - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 15%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Paraguarí - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tacuary
Paraguarí
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| Tacuary | Liga | Paraguarí | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.70 | 2.59 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 56% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 26% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 67% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | • 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- TacuaryGoalNéstor Fabián Bareiro Leguizamón
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Tacuary's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Paraguarí. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tacuary vs Paraguarí?
The Division Intermedia match finished Tacuary 2:4 Paraguarí. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tacuary vs Paraguarí?
Tacuary score 1.11 goals per game on average and Paraguarí 1.33. The Division Intermedia average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Tacuary's matches and 56% of Paraguarí's.
What form are Tacuary and Paraguarí in?
Over the last 5 games Tacuary have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Paraguarí 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tacuary vs Paraguarí?
The statistical background for Tacuary vs Paraguarí — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.