Tacuary vs Sportivo Carapeguá: match statistics
Tacuary vs Sportivo Carapeguá: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tacuary played against Sportivo Carapeguá in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The game was played on May 31, 2026. Venue: Estadio Toribio Vargas. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Tacuary has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Sportivo Carapeguá has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Tacuary scores 0.89 goals per game and allows 1.56. Sportivo Carapeguá scores 1.11 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 2.40 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Tacuary's games and 44% of Sportivo Carapeguá's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 44%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 39% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tacuary has the higher season xG average, 1.09 to 1.07 per game. Tacuary takes 7.1 shots per game, while Sportivo Carapeguá takes 7.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Tacuary leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Sportivo Carapeguá leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.78 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tacuary's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Sportivo Carapeguá, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Division Intermedia games average 2.40 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 39% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (Sportivo Carapeguá). Tacuary has not won a single home match this season (0% wins), recording 5 draws and 4 losses, scoring on average 0.75 goals and conceding 1.75 goals per home match. Sportivo sits 8th of 16. Tacuary has 4 wins this season and on the road averages 7.4 shots with 2.8 on target, averaging 1.0 goals away and xG for = 1.08 versus home xG = 0.92. Both teams have defensive issues (average 1.75 goals conceded at home vs 2.2 for the away side, xG against 1.51 vs 1.71), but the edge for the visitors comes from a higher volume of shots and better efficiency (conversion 14% vs 13%). Although Tacuary scored 7 goals in the last 5 matches (vs 4 for Sportivo), both teams have been collecting only 0.8 points per game in that period, so the visitors remain favorites due to a superior seasonal win record and chance-creation metrics.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics indicate both teams have the capacity to score: Tacuary averages 1.25 goals this season (1.4 in the last 5 matches), while Sportivo Carapeguá has a season average of 1.00 (0.8 in the last 5). The strongest signal for BTTS - Yes is the visitors' weak defense — Carapeguá concedes 2.20 goals on average this season with xG against 1.71, and Tacuary has recently conceded 1.6 goals across five matches, increasing the likelihood of both teams finding the net. The counterargument is that Tacuary has 50% clean sheets this season, and the league shows a high clean sheet rate of 65% and an overall BTTS of 46%, which reduces the probability of both scoring. Additionally, both teams generate similar xG (0.95 vs 1.08) and shot volumes (Tacuary 6.25 with 3.5 on target, Carapeguá 7.4 with 2.8 on target), while shot conversion of 20% versus 14% favors the home side in chance conversion. Weighing all signals (80% BTTS for Tacuary in the last 5 matches, Carapeguá’s poor defense 2.20 goals conceded and xG against 1.71) I assess BTTS probability at 62% for 'Yes' and 38% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate the total goals at about 2.32 (home 1.33, away 0.99), calculated from xG: Tacuary attack 0.95 vs Sportivo defense 1.71 and away attack 1.08 vs home defense 0.90. Tacuary averages 6.25 shots per game, including 3.5 on target, and has a 20% conversion rate, translating to a seasonal average of 1.25 goals; Sportivo Carapeguá concedes on average 2.2 goals per game (15 conceded this season), indicating defensive vulnerability. Both teams have 100% of matches with at least one goal, and in the last 5 matches Tacuary averaged 1.4 goals and 80% of their last five games were Over 2.5 goals. Based on a probability distribution with lambda = 2.32 I assess the chances of Over 1.5 at about 67%, Over 2.5 at 41% and Over 3.5 at 20%, therefore the best line to play appears to be Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home side led at the break in 3 of their 4 home matches (75%) and average 0.75 goals by half-time, while Sportivo Carapeguá average 0.0 first-half goals, strongly favoring Tacuary before the interval. Tacuary win 75% of matches at home versus just 20% away wins for the visitors, and at the halfway point the hosts have accumulated 9 points compared to the visitors’ 2 points, so maintaining the lead to Full-Time is highly likely. Although the visitors’ attacking xG is 1.08 versus 0.95 for the hosts, the visitors concede 1.71 xG on average (vs 0.90 for the hosts) and have a lower shot conversion rate (14% vs 20%), meaning Tacuary converts their chances more efficiently. Additionally, over the last five matches the hosts have averaged 1.2 second-half goals versus 0.6 for the visitors, so the most probable scenario is a Half-Time/Full-Time lead at half-time and a home win (1/1 ~60%), with smaller chances of a draw at full-time (1/X 10%) or a late turnaround by the visitors (e.g. 2/1 15%, 2/2 5%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tacuary | Sportivo Carapeguá | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sportivo Carapeguá is 25% better for: goals scored per game.
0.89 goals / game - Tacuary · 1.11 goals / game - Sportivo Carapeguá
Tacuary is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.56 goals / game - Tacuary · 1.67 goals / game - Sportivo Carapeguá
Tacuary scores in 56% of games (5 of 9 meczów), while Sportivo Carapeguá keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 meczów).
Sportivo Carapeguá scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 meczów), while Tacuary keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tacuary
Over / Under - Sportivo Carapeguá
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sportivo Carapeguá is 82% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / game - Tacuary · 1.22 pts / game - Sportivo Carapeguá
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tacuary - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Sportivo Carapeguá - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tacuary
Sportivo Carapeguá
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| Tacuary | Liga | Sportivo Carapeguá | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.44 | 2.40 | ▲ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 48% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 39% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 31% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 65% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- TacuaryGoalAlcides Javier Valdez Torres
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Tacuary's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Sportivo Carapeguá. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tacuary vs Sportivo Carapeguá?
The Division Intermedia match finished Tacuary 2:2 Sportivo Carapeguá. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tacuary and Sportivo Carapeguá?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tacuary won 1, Sportivo Carapeguá won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tacuary vs Sportivo Carapeguá?
Tacuary score 0.89 goals per game on average and Sportivo Carapeguá 1.11. The Division Intermedia average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Tacuary's matches and 44% of Sportivo Carapeguá's.
What form are Tacuary and Sportivo Carapeguá in?
Over the last 5 games Tacuary have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Sportivo Carapeguá 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tacuary vs Sportivo Carapeguá?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tacuary vs Sportivo Carapeguá: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.