Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme United: match statistics
Nõmme United presents significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 12 points (2.4 PPG) compared to Flora's 10 points (2.0 PPG). The visitors won four of their last five meetings, scoring as many as 21 goals with only 4 conceded, resulting in an impressive goal difference of +17. Flora, despite three wins in the last five matches, scored only 10 goals and conceded 5, indicating lower offensive efficiency. Additionally, Nõmme United occupies a higher position in the table (4th place) than Flora (6th place), confirming their superior disposition in the current season. Given the advantage in form, scoring efficiency, and league position, Nõmme United is the favorite for this encounter.
Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tallinna FC Flora play Nõmme United in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 7 March 2026 at 11:30. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Tallinna FC Flora: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Nõmme United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tallinna FC Flora scores 2.05 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Nõmme United scores 1.95 and concedes 2.30. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tallinna FC Flora 42%, Nõmme United 90%. Over 2.5: Tallinna FC Flora 79%, Nõmme United 95%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Flora has higher xG: 2.08 vs 1.50. Tallinna FC Flora: 17.0 shots per match, Nõmme United: 11.9.
Match halves
Tallinna FC Flora: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 1.21. Nõmme United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.20.
Goals by minute
Tallinna FC Flora: 61-75 (9 goals). Nõmme United: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Nõmme United presents significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 12 points (2.4 PPG) compared to Flora's 10 points (2.0 PPG). The visitors won four of their last five meetings, scoring as many as 21 goals with only 4 conceded, resulting in an impressive goal difference of +17. Flora, despite three wins in the last five matches, scored only 10 goals and conceded 5, indicating lower offensive efficiency. Additionally, Nõmme United occupies a higher position in the table (4th place) than Flora (6th place), confirming their superior disposition in the current season. Given the advantage in form, scoring efficiency, and league position, Nõmme United is the favorite for this encounter.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tallinna FC Flora | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Flora is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
2.05 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 1.95 goals / match - Nõmme United
Tallinna FC Flora is 107% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 2.3 goals / match - Nõmme United
Tallinna FC Flora scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 20 matches).
Nõmme United scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tallinna FC Flora
Over / Under — Nõmme United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tallinna FC Flora is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 1 pts / match - Nõmme United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nõmme United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tallinna FC Flora
Nõmme United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Tallinna FC Flora | Liga | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.16 | 3.11 | ▲ 4.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 58% | ▲ 90% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 79% | 66% | ▲ 95% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | ▲ 95% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 88% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Tallinna FC Flora 1 - 0 - 1 Nõmme United. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme United?
The Meistriliiga match finished Tallinna FC Flora 3:0 Nõmme United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Flora and Nõmme United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Flora won 1, Nõmme United won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme United?
Tallinna FC Flora score 2.05 goals per game on average and Nõmme United 1.95. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Tallinna FC Flora's matches and 90% of Nõmme United's.
What form are Tallinna FC Flora and Nõmme United in?
Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Flora have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Nõmme United 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme United?
The statistical background for Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.