Estonia - MeistriliigaA. Le Coq ArenaData current as of September 18, 2026

Tallinna FC Flora vs Vaprus: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Tallinna FC Flora vs Vaprus: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Tallinna FC Flora plays Vaprus in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game is scheduled for September 20, 2026. Venue: A. Le Coq Arena.

Recent form

Tallinna FC Flora has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Vaprus has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Tallinna FC Flora scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.32. Vaprus scores 1.29 and allows 1.96. Games in this league average 3.13 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 57% of Tallinna FC Flora's games and 64% of Vaprus's. The Over 2.5 rates are 82% and 64%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Tallinna FC Flora has the higher season xG average, 1.95 to 1.20 per game. Tallinna FC Flora takes 15.9 shots per game, while Vaprus takes 9.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Tallinna FC Flora leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 1.07 goals per game after halftime. Vaprus leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.64 after halftime.

When the teams score

Tallinna FC Flora's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (12 goals). For Vaprus, it is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Meistriliiga games average 3.13 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 6 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
2Goals scored / game1.29
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
1.32Goals allowed / game1.96
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
58%Average possession46%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
5.14Shots on target / game3.64
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.86Shots per game9.07
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
5.14Shots on target3.64
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
12.6%Shot conversion14.2%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
58%Possession46%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
1.95xG for1.2
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
1.47xG against2.03
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

Shooting quality

Tallinna FC Flora: DominantVaprus: Counter-attacking
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
Accuracy (shots on target)32%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Tallinna FC Flora is 150% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Tallinna FC Flora · 0.8 pts / game - Vaprus

Tallinna FC Flora
LWWDW
Season result split
61% W4% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-1-10
1.86 pts / game · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-0-6
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 2.02BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Vaprus
DWLLL
Season result split
32% W14% D54% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-15
1.11 pts / game · goal difference -19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-9
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 2.30BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tallinna FC Flora is 55% better for: goals scored per game.

2 goals / game - Tallinna FC Flora · 1.29 goals / game - Vaprus

Tallinna FC Flora is 48% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.32 goals / game - Tallinna FC Flora · 1.96 goals / game - Vaprus

Tallinna FC Flora scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Flora scores in 89% of games (25 of 28 games), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 games).

Vaprus scoring profile: very strong

Vaprus scores in 79% of games (22 of 28 games), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 games).

56Goals scored (season)36
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
37Goals conceded (season)55
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
3.32Average goals per game3.25
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
11Goals scored (last 5)5
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
9Goals conceded (last 5)11
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal79%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
61%2 goals32%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
29%3 goals11%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
11%4 goals4%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal79%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
43%2 goals61%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
18%3 goals29%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
4%4 goals11%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time32%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
4%BTTS in both halves7%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
36%Scored in both halves25%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS61%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
100%BTTS - last 540%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
54%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tallinna FC Flora is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.46 pts / game - Tallinna FC Flora · 1.18 pts / game - Vaprus

Tallinna FC Flora - half-time state
36% leading39% draw25% trailing
Vaprus - half-time state
25% leading43% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.46Points per game (1st half)1.18
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
0.93Goals scored (1st half)0.64
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.89
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
1.61Average goals (1st half)1.54
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
50%Clean sheet before half-time46%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
43%No goal before half-time46%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

After half-time (2nd half)

1.79Points per game (2nd half)1.11
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
1.07Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
0.64Goals conceded (2nd half)1.07
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
1.71Average goals (2nd half)1.71
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
61%Clean sheet after half-time32%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus
32%No goal after half-time50%
Tallinna FC FloraVaprus

Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results

54% W18% D29% L
41
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding169%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 61%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Vaprus - second-half results

29% W25% D46% L
33
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Tallinna FC Flora - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.20
Goals scored / game1.21.0
Goals allowed / game1.00.8
Average goals per game2.21.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals60%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6
Vaprus - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.80
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game1.01.2
Average goals per game1.41.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Tallinna FC Flora
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
10
8
16-30
10
7
31-45
9
5
46-60
12
5
61-75
9
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Vaprus
ScoredConceded
4
10
0-15
8
7
16-30
6
8
31-45
8
11
46-60
4
10
61-75
6
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.29
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.0 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-22%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Tallinna FC Flora

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Vaprus

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.83
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Tallinna FC FloraLigaVaprus
Average goals per game 3.323.13 3.25
Both teams scored 57%57% 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 82%65% 64%
Clean sheets 32%23% 21%
Goal before half-time 79%77% 75%
Goal after half-time 89%88% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.13
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.79
Home goals / game
1.34
Away goals / game
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defensive advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Tallinna FC Flora's perspective: 6 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Vaprus. Games average 2.57 goals, and both teams scored in 29% of them.

Vaprus
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Flora
Vaprus
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
2 : 0
Vaprus
Pärnu JK Vaprus
0 : 3
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
3 : 0
Pärnu JK Vaprus
Pärnu JK Vaprus
0 : 3
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
0 : 1
Pärnu JK Vaprus

FAQ

When do Tallinna FC Flora and Vaprus play?

Tallinna FC Flora face Vaprus on September 20, 2026 in Meistriliiga at A. Le Coq Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Flora and Vaprus?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Flora won 6, Vaprus won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Flora vs Vaprus?

Tallinna FC Flora score 2.00 goals per game on average and Vaprus 1.29. The Meistriliiga average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Tallinna FC Flora's matches and 64% of Vaprus's.

What form are Tallinna FC Flora and Vaprus in?

Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Flora have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Vaprus 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Flora vs Vaprus?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tallinna FC Flora vs Vaprus: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.