Tallinna FC Levadia vs Tallinna FC Flora: match statistics
Tallinna FC Levadia vs Tallinna FC Flora: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tallinna FC Levadia played against Tallinna FC Flora in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game was played on April 19, 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Recent form
Tallinna FC Levadia has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Tallinna FC Flora has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Tallinna FC Levadia scores 1.83 goals per game and allows 1.00. Tallinna FC Flora scores 1.33 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 3.15 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 83% of Tallinna FC Levadia's games and 33% of Tallinna FC Flora's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tallinna FC Levadia has the higher season xG average, 2.12 to 2.03 per game. Tallinna FC Levadia takes 17.5 shots per game, while Tallinna FC Flora takes 16.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Tallinna FC Levadia leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.17 goals per game after halftime. Tallinna FC Flora leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tallinna FC Levadia's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). For Tallinna FC Flora, it is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Meistriliiga games average 3.15 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1): Tallinna FC Levadia remain unbeaten at home (0% losses), with a home record of 50% wins and 50% draws and a positive goal differential of +3, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.00 goals per match. Levadia create better chances — home xG is 1.96 versus Flora’s away xG of 1.91. The hosts average 5.0 shots on target from 16.25 total shots, while Flora average 3.5 on target from 15.5 total. Efficiency favors Levadia: the hosts’ shot conversion rate is 11% versus just 3% for Flora on the road, and Levadia have not had a goalless home game (0% games without a goal) compared to 50% for the visitors. Form and last-five stats also favor the hosts — Levadia scored 9 goals in their last 5 and average 1.8 points per game, while Flora have 5 goals in their last 5 and 1.2 points per game. Additionally, the visitors have not won away yet (0% wins, 100% losses) and concede 2.5 goals on average away, so I assign Levadia a 68% chance to win, a 20% chance of a draw and a 12% chance of a Flora victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Levadia scores an average of 1.75 goals at home this season, has 4.5 shots on target and a conversion rate of 10%, whereas Flora has only 0.5 goals away, 3.5 shots on target and a 3% conversion — this highlights Levadia’s superiority in efficiency (1.75 vs 0.5; 10% vs 3%). Levadia’s defense concedes 0.5 goals per home game and records 50% clean sheets, while Flora concedes 2.5 goals on average away and has 0% clean sheets, which suggests Flora is more likely to concede but not necessarily score. Arguments for BTTS – Yes come from recent form: in the last 5 matches Levadia had BTTS in 100% of games and conceded 1.2 goals on average, and Flora had xG 2.01 and scored 1.0 goal per game in their last 5, indicating both teams create chances. Despite a league trend of 60% BTTS and an average of 3.27 goals per match, considering Flora’s low 0.5 away goals and Levadia’s 50% clean sheets, I assign higher probability to No Goal (60%) versus Goal/Goal (40%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on xG: Levadia has an attacking xG of 2.09 and xG conceded of 1.36, Flora has attacking xG of 1.91 and xG conceded of 1.16; averaging these values yields 1.63 goals for the home side and 1.64 for the visitors, totaling 3.27. Season averages show Levadia scores 1.75 goals at home, while Flora only 0.50 away, however Flora generates xG 1.91 with a low shot conversion rate of 3% (versus Levadia's 10%), which indicates potential for improvement in converting xG to goals. Over/under stats indicate Levadia at home have 75% of matches over 1.5 goals, Flora away 100%; both teams have 50% of matches over 2.5 this season, while the league average for over 2.5 is 63%. The expected 3.27 goals and Levadia’s form (last 5 matches: 9 scored and 6 conceded, averaging 1.8–1.2) push the probability for Over 2.5 to roughly 68%, Over 1.5 I assess at about 92%, and Over 3.5 around 34% due to Levadia’s 0% this season for >3.5 and Flora’s 50%. Therefore the best value to play is Over 2.5 — this is the strongest signal derived from xG=3.27, the league average 63% and the home side’s recent form.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Season statistics clearly favor Tallinna FC Levadia: the hosts score an average of 1.75 goals per match versus 0.5 for Tallinna FC Flora, have a 75% win rate and average 2.25 points per game compared to 0.0 for the visitors. At half-time Levadia averages 0.75 goals while Flora averages 0.0; the hosts led at the break in 50% of matches and the visitors in 0%, which is a strong signal for a Levadia lead after 45 minutes. Additionally Levadia is more efficient in finishing chances: shot conversion 10% versus 3% for Flora, average xG 2.09 vs 1.91 and 4.5 shots on target versus 3.5 indicate that similar xG yields more goals for the hosts. Overall the hosts won 75% of season matches while Flora recorded no wins (0%), with average goals conceded 0.5 for Levadia versus 2.5 for the visitors, so the scenario of taking the lead and seeing out the win is highly likely. On this basis I recommend HT/FT 1/1 as the main pick (60% probability), with alternatives X/1 (20%) and X/X (8%) as less likely scenarios.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tallinna FC Levadia | Tallinna FC Flora | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.2 pts / game - Tallinna FC Flora
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 38% better for: goals scored per game.
1.83 goals / game - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.33 goals / game - Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Levadia is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.17 goals / game - Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 meczów), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 meczów).
Tallinna FC Flora scores in 67% of games (4 of 6 meczów), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tallinna FC Levadia
Over / Under - Tallinna FC Flora
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / game - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.5 pts / game - Tallinna FC Flora
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Flora
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Tallinna FC Levadia | Liga | Tallinna FC Flora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.83 | 3.15 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 61% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 21% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 91% | ▼ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Tallinna FC Levadia's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses against Tallinna FC Flora. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tallinna FC Levadia vs Tallinna FC Flora?
The Meistriliiga match finished Tallinna FC Levadia 4:0 Tallinna FC Flora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Levadia and Tallinna FC Flora?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Levadia won 1, Tallinna FC Flora won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Levadia vs Tallinna FC Flora?
Tallinna FC Levadia score 1.83 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Flora 1.33. The Meistriliiga average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Tallinna FC Levadia's matches and 33% of Tallinna FC Flora's.
What form are Tallinna FC Levadia and Tallinna FC Flora in?
Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Levadia have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Tallinna FC Flora 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Tallinna FC Flora?
The statistical background for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Tallinna FC Flora — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.