Estonia - MeistriliigaTamme staadionData current as of September 06, 2026

Tammeka vs Trans: match statistics

Tammeka crest
Tammeka
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Trans crest
Trans

Tammeka vs Trans: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Tammeka played against Trans in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game was played on June 21, 2026. Venue: Tamme staadion. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Tammeka has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Trans has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Tammeka scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.33. Trans scores 0.69 and allows 2.44. Games in this league average 3.07 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 47% of Tammeka's games and 38% of Trans's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 75%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Trans has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.59 per game. Tammeka takes 13.9 shots per game, while Trans takes 13.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Tammeka leads at halftime in 7% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Trans leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.31 after halftime.

When the teams score

Tammeka's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Trans, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Meistriliiga games average 3.07 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 4 away wins. Those games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Tammeka holds a clear advantage in home metrics: they average 1.13 goals per home match with 4.13 shots on target, whereas Trans manage just 0.25 goals and 3.38 shots on target in away fixtures. Defensively the hosts concede 1.25 goals per game at home, while the visitors concede 3.25 goals on the road; Trans also have a negative away goal difference of -24 and a 88% loss rate in away matches. Efficiency is decisive: Tammeka’s conversion rate is around 11% and they fail to score in 38% of home games, whereas Trans convert at only 2% and are goalless in 75% of their away matches. Over the last 5 matches Tammeka average 2.0 points per game with a sequence 'wwldw', while Trans average 1.4 points per game with mixed results; average xG are 1.28 for Tammeka at home versus 1.41 for Trans away, indicating that the visitors’ poor finishing explains the gap in outcomes. Considering the superiority in chance conversion, better form and Trans’s catastrophic away statistics, I predict a home victory.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Season stats clearly favor the “no” scenario: Trans averages only 0.25 goals per game and has a season BTTS rate of 25%. As the home side, Tammeka produces 16.13 shots and 4.5 on target with xG 1.87, while Trans concedes on average 3.25 goals per game this season, so the hosts have a realistic chance to score. In the last 5 matches Trans has improved offensively — 2.4 goals per game, 12 goals in five matches and recent xG 2.08 — but this is a short-term signal. Nonetheless Trans’s season shot conversion is only 2% versus Tammeka’s 7%, and BTTS for the visitors in the last 5 is 20%, limiting the away side’s scoring probability. Given Trans’s low seasonal goals average (0.25), poor conversion rate of 2% and low BTTS figures (25% season, 20% in L5), I assess BTTS at 35% for “Yes” and 65% for “No”, backing the “No” pick.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The xG-based model indicates total xG = 1.87 (Tammeka home) + 1.41 (Trans) = 3.28 expected goals, exceeding the league average of 3.08. Seasonally Tammeka had Over 2.5 in 88% of home matches, and Trans in 63% of their fixtures, which further supports a scenario of at least 3 goals. From a Poisson distribution with mean 3.28 there is roughly an 84% chance of over 1.5 goals and about a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals, therefore the strongest signal is the Over side. Additionally, Trans concedes an average of 3.25 goals per match this season and has a low shot conversion of 2%, while Tammeka generates on average 16.13 shots and xG 1.87 at home, increasing the likelihood of goals—hence the recommendation: Over 1.5.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win by full-time (X/1). Tammeka were level at the break in 100% of their last five home matches, while Trans have not won on the road (0% wins) and have lost 88% of away fixtures, conceding an average of 3.25 goals per away match. The home side average 1.13 goals at home, whereas Trans score only 0.25 away; the home xG is 1.87 versus 1.41 for the visitors, indicating more clear-cut chances for Tammeka. After the break Tammeka win 50% of second halves and average 1.63 points in second halves, while Trans concede on average 2.0 goals after half-time and as many as 9 goals in minutes 76–90, which increases the probability of a home turnaround to secure the win after 90 minutes.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

63Possession (%)37
TammekaTrans
15Shots7
TammekaTrans
4Shots on target2
TammekaTrans
1.85xG0.87
TammekaTrans
9Corners1
TammekaTrans
87Dangerous attacks39
TammekaTrans
14Fouls8
TammekaTrans
2Cards4
TammekaTrans

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.13Goals scored / game0.69
TammekaTrans
1.33Goals allowed / game2.44
TammekaTrans
50%Average possession46%
TammekaTrans
5Shots on target / game3.94
TammekaTrans

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.93Shots per game13.88
TammekaTrans
5Shots on target3.94
TammekaTrans
8.1%Shot conversion5%
TammekaTrans
50%Possession46%
TammekaTrans
1.59xG for1.64
TammekaTrans
1.67xG against1.67
TammekaTrans

Shooting quality

Tammeka: BalancedTrans: Balanced
TammekaTrans
Accuracy (shots on target)36%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.230.18

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Tammeka is 150% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Tammeka · 0.8 pts / game - Trans

Tammeka
WWLDW
Season result split
40% W13% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-7
1.33 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWWLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Trans
LWLLD
Season result split
19% W6% R75% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-12
0.63 pts / game · goal difference -28
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-7
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.82Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tammeka is 64% better for: goals scored per game.

1.13 goals / game - Tammeka · 0.69 goals / game - Trans

Tammeka is 83% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.33 goals / game - Tammeka · 2.44 goals / game - Trans

Tammeka scoring profile: strong

Tammeka scores in 60% of games (9 of 15 meczów), while Trans keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 meczów).

Trans scoring profile: mixed

Trans scores in 50% of games (8 of 16 meczów), while Tammeka keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 meczów).

17Goals scored (season)11
TammekaTrans
20Goals conceded (season)39
TammekaTrans
2.47Average goals per game3.13
TammekaTrans
6Goals scored (last 5)2
TammekaTrans
3Goals conceded (last 5)8
TammekaTrans

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal50%
TammekaTrans
33%2 goals13%
TammekaTrans
20%3 goals6%
TammekaTrans
0%4 goals0%
TammekaTrans

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal81%
TammekaTrans
33%2 goals69%
TammekaTrans
20%3 goals38%
TammekaTrans
7%4 goals19%
TammekaTrans

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time19%
TammekaTrans
0%BTTS in both halves0%
TammekaTrans
20%Scored in both halves13%
TammekaTrans

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
TammekaTrans
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS38%
TammekaTrans
40%BTTS - last 520%
TammekaTrans

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
TammekaTrans
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time56%
TammekaTrans
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
TammekaTrans

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time94%
TammekaTrans
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
TammekaTrans
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
TammekaTrans

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tammeka is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.8 pts / game - Tammeka · 0.69 pts / game - Trans

Tammeka - half-time state
7% leading60% draw33% trailing
Trans - half-time state
13% leading31% draw56% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.8Points per game (1st half)0.69
TammekaTrans
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.38
TammekaTrans
0.87Goals conceded (1st half)1.19
TammekaTrans
1.27Average goals (1st half)1.56
TammekaTrans
40%Clean sheet before half-time31%
TammekaTrans
73%No goal before half-time69%
TammekaTrans

After half-time (2nd half)

1.6Points per game (2nd half)0.88
TammekaTrans
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)0.31
TammekaTrans
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)1.25
TammekaTrans
1.2Average goals (2nd half)1.56
TammekaTrans
60%Clean sheet after half-time31%
TammekaTrans
47%No goal after half-time69%
TammekaTrans

Tammeka - second-half results

40% W40% R20% P
12
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding571%

Leads at halftime in 7% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Trans - second-half results

25% W13% R63% P
11
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-13
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-15
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.69
PPG before half-time
Lead holding146%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Tammeka - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.00
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.2
Average goals per game0.81.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Trans - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.00
Goals scored / game0.00.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game0.81.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-4-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Tammeka
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
4
4
16-30
2
6
31-45
4
0
46-60
2
4
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Trans
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
1
7
16-30
4
9
31-45
0
4
46-60
2
5
61-75
3
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.79
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+21%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
30%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
20%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Tammeka

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
65%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.67
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Trans

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.72
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.95
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.77
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
51%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
141%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

TammekaLigaTrans
Average goals per game 2.473.07 3.13
Both teams scored 47%56% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%64% 75%
Clean sheets 27%24% 19%
Goal before half-time 60%73% 81%
Goal after half-time 73%90% 94%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.07
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / game
1.35
Away goals / game
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defensive advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
90%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. TransYellow cardArtjom Škinjov
  2. TransSubstitutionOn: Aleksandr IvanjušinOff: Denis Polyakov
  3. TammekaYellow cardGiacomo Uggeri
  4. TammekaSubstitutionOn: Chilem Williams IgnatiusOff: Muhammed Hydara
  5. TammekaSubstitutionOn: Mattis KarisOff: Giacomo Uggeri
  6. TransYellow cardAleksander Filatov
  7. TammekaYellow cardMattis Karis
  8. TransYellow cardNikita Baljabkin
  9. TammekaSubstitutionOn: Tanel LangOff: Chilem Williams Ignatius
  10. TammekaGoalTristan Koskor

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Tammeka's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses against Trans. Games average 3.40 goals, and both teams scored in 40% of them.

Trans
3 : 0
Tammeka
JK Tammeka Tartu
2 : 0
JK Narva Trans
JK Narva Trans
4 : 1
JK Tammeka Tartu
JK Narva Trans
4 : 0
JK Tammeka Tartu
JK Tammeka Tartu
1 : 2
JK Narva Trans

FAQ

What was the result of Tammeka vs Trans?

The Meistriliiga match finished Tammeka 1:0 Trans. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tammeka and Trans?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Tammeka won 1, Trans won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tammeka vs Trans?

Tammeka score 1.13 goals per game on average and Trans 0.69. The Meistriliiga average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Tammeka's matches and 38% of Trans's.

What form are Tammeka and Trans in?

Over the last 5 games Tammeka have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Trans 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tammeka vs Trans?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.