Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven: match statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tampa Bay Rowdies played against Indy Eleven in USL Championship (United States). The game was played on May 2, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Tampa Bay Rowdies has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Indy Eleven has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Tampa Bay Rowdies scores 1.83 goals per game and allows 0.67. Indy Eleven scores 1.67 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 2.67 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Tampa Bay Rowdies's games and 83% of Indy Eleven's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 67%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tampa Bay Rowdies has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.54 per game. Tampa Bay Rowdies takes 15.7 shots per game, while Indy Eleven takes 12.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Tampa Bay Rowdies leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.17 goals per game after halftime. Indy Eleven leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.17 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tampa Bay Rowdies's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Indy Eleven, it is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL Championship games average 2.67 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 4 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a home win. Tampa Bay averages 2.67 goals in home matches with an xG of 1.92 per game, while Indy Eleven scores 1.33 on the road with an xG of 1.41, indicating a clear offensive edge for the hosts. The hosts average 17 shots and 7.67 on target at home versus 12 shots and 4 on target for the visitors, and shot conversion is 16% compared to Indy’s 11%, translating into superior chance conversion. Defensively Tampa Bay concedes 1.0 goals at home with an opponent xG of 0.61, whereas the visitors concede 1.67 on the road with an opponent xG of 1.59; the hosts are unbeaten at home (0% losses) and have a 67% home win rate, while Indy has not won away (0% wins) and has 33% of away matches without scoring. Additionally, the hosts average 2.2 points per game in the last 5 fixtures versus 1.0 for the visitors, so form and superiority in chance quality point to a Tampa Bay victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
High probability for BTTS - Yes: Tampa Bay has a home BTTS rate of 100% this season and 60% in the last 5, while Indy Eleven shows 67% seasonally and 100% in the last 5, providing a strong signal for Goal/Goal (100% vs 67%; last5: 60% vs 100%). Both teams create and concede chances — Tampa Bay averages 2.0 goals scored per match with xG 1.66 and concedes 1.0, Indy averages 1.33 scored with xG 1.41 and concedes 1.67, so statistically goals are expected at both ends. No clean sheets this season (0% for both) and a high frequency of matches over 2.5 goals (67% for home and 67% for away) and 67% of cases combining over 2.5 with BTTS further reinforce the Yes scenario. Additionally, average xG against 1.7 (Tampa) and 1.59 (Indy) and average shots on target 6.33 vs 4.0 indicate quality and volume of scoring opportunities from both sides; therefore I pick BTTS - Yes and assign 82% to BTTS Yes versus 18% to No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams possess clear offensive potential: Tampa Bay averages 2.0 goals per match, Indy Eleven 1.33, with home xG at 1.66 versus 1.41 for the visitors. Defenses are not airtight either — Indy concedes xG 1.59 on average, Tampa Bay 1.70 — yielding projected expected goals of approximately 1.63 for the home side and 1.56 for the visitors, totaling ~3.19 expected goals. At this total the probability distribution implies roughly an 83% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), about 62% for Over 2.5 and around 39% for Over 3.5. Seasonal figures confirm this: both teams have 67% of matches over 2.5 goals, and BTTS is 100% for the home team and 67% for the visitors, which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. As a result the strongest and safest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (83% vs 17%), although Over 2.5 (62%) also shows a significant edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Tampa Bay Rowdies led at half-time in 3 of 3 matches (100%) and average 1.0 goals by the break, while Indy Eleven did not lead in any of 3 matches (0%) and average 0.0 goals at half-time. The Rowdies score 2.0 goals per game and concede 1.0, averaging 2.33 points per game and a 67% win rate, whereas Indy Eleven score 1.33, concede 1.67 and manage only 0.67 points per game with a 0% win rate. The home advantage is supported by offensive metrics: xG 1.66 versus 1.41 for the visitors, an average of 6.33 shots on target versus 4.0, and a conversion rate of 15% versus 11%, which increases the chance of maintaining a lead after the break. However, Indy is stronger in second halves (on average 1.33 goals in second halves and 2.33 points gained after the break versus the hosts’ 1.0 goal and 1.33 points), so a turnaround to draw at full-time (1/X) is a realistic secondary scenario. Given Rowdies’ 100% half-time leads and superior points and goal metrics (2.33 vs 0.67 average points per game), the most likely and strongest signal is 1/1 (lead at the break and home win).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Indy Eleven | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 22% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.8 pts / game - Indy Eleven
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.83 goals / game - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.67 goals / game - Indy Eleven
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 99% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.67 goals / game - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.33 goals / game - Indy Eleven
Tampa Bay Rowdies scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 meczów), while Indy Eleven keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 meczów).
Indy Eleven scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 meczów), while Tampa Bay Rowdies keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Over / Under - Indy Eleven
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.5 pts / game - Indy Eleven
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tampa Bay Rowdies - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Indy Eleven - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Indy Eleven
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Liga | Indy Eleven | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.50 | 2.67 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 83% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 29% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 65% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Tampa Bay Rowdies's perspective: 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Indy Eleven. Games average 3.25 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven?
The USL Championship match finished Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:0 Indy Eleven. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tampa Bay Rowdies and Indy Eleven?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay Rowdies won 4, Indy Eleven won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven?
Tampa Bay Rowdies score 1.83 goals per game on average and Indy Eleven 1.67. The USL Championship average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tampa Bay Rowdies's matches and 83% of Indy Eleven's.
What form are Tampa Bay Rowdies and Indy Eleven in?
Over the last 5 games Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Indy Eleven 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven?
The statistical background for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.