Tamworth vs Aldershot Town: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests both teams are very evenly matched. Tamworth has averaged only 0.8 points per game with four draws in their last five matches, indicating struggles to break down opponents. Aldershot Town is in better form, averaging 2 points per game over their last five outings, but their poor away record (53% loss rate, conceding an average of 1.87 goals) represents a significant burden. The hosts hold a home advantage with a 33% win rate and a lower average of conceded goals (1.13). However, their recent series of draws and no wins in the last five matches weakens their position. Considering the teams' even xG metrics and Aldershot's high average of goals per game (3.53), I expect an open, closely contested match with a slight home edge, yet a draw appears to be the most likely outcome.
Tamworth vs Aldershot Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tamworth play Aldershot Town in National League (England). The match date is 14 February 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Tamworth: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Aldershot Town: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tamworth scores 1.37 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. Aldershot Town scores 1.48 and concedes 1.89. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tamworth 67%, Aldershot Town 63%. Over 2.5: Tamworth 54%, Aldershot Town 70%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Aldershot Town has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.50. Tamworth: 11.4 shots per match, Aldershot Town: 12.7.
Match halves
Tamworth: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.78. Aldershot Town: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Tamworth: 61-75 (14 goals). Aldershot Town: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis suggests both teams are very evenly matched. Tamworth has averaged only 0.8 points per game with four draws in their last five matches, indicating struggles to break down opponents. Aldershot Town is in better form, averaging 2 points per game over their last five outings, but their poor away record (53% loss rate, conceding an average of 1.87 goals) represents a significant burden. The hosts hold a home advantage with a 33% win rate and a lower average of conceded goals (1.13). However, their recent series of draws and no wins in the last five matches weakens their position. Considering the teams' even xG metrics and Aldershot's high average of goals per game (3.53), I expect an open, closely contested match with a slight home edge, yet a draw appears to be the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tamworth | Aldershot Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aldershot Town is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Tamworth · 1.48 goals / match - Aldershot Town
Tamworth is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.54 goals / match - Tamworth · 1.89 goals / match - Aldershot Town
Tamworth scores in 80% of matches (37 of 46 matches), while Aldershot Town keeps a clean sheet in 13% (6 of 46 matches).
Aldershot Town scores in 74% of matches (34 of 46 matches), while Tamworth keeps a clean sheet in 17% (8 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tamworth
Over / Under — Aldershot Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tamworth is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Tamworth · 0.96 pts / match - Aldershot Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tamworth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Aldershot Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tamworth
Aldershot Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Tamworth | Liga | Aldershot Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.91 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 57% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 24% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tamworth 1 - 0 - 0 Aldershot Town. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tamworth vs Aldershot Town?
The National League match finished Tamworth 1:1 Aldershot Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tamworth vs Aldershot Town?
Tamworth score 1.37 goals per game on average and Aldershot Town 1.48. The National League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Tamworth's matches and 63% of Aldershot Town's.
What form are Tamworth and Aldershot Town in?
Over the last 5 games Tamworth have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Aldershot Town 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tamworth vs Aldershot Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.