Tamworth vs Altrincham: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, which argues for a draw. Tamworth has recorded a streak of five draws in their last five matches, showing defensive stability but a lack of offensive efficiency. The hosts have a better home goal difference (-1) and higher xG (1.57 vs 1.46), giving them a slight edge. Altrincham presents poor away form (67% losses, only 13% wins), but their last two overall wins may suggest an improvement in disposition. Given Tamworth's recent run of draws and Altrincham's struggles on the road, a sharing of points is the most likely scenario, although the hosts have slightly better winning chances due to home advantage and superior xG stats.
Tamworth vs Altrincham: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tamworth play Altrincham in National League (England). The match date is 24 February 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Tamworth: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Altrincham: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tamworth scores 1.37 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. Altrincham scores 1.20 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tamworth 67%, Altrincham 61%. Over 2.5: Tamworth 54%, Altrincham 57%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Tamworth has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.49. Tamworth: 11.4 shots per match, Altrincham: 11.5.
Match halves
Tamworth: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.78. Altrincham: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Tamworth: 61-75 (14 goals). Altrincham: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, which argues for a draw. Tamworth has recorded a streak of five draws in their last five matches, showing defensive stability but a lack of offensive efficiency. The hosts have a better home goal difference (-1) and higher xG (1.57 vs 1.46), giving them a slight edge. Altrincham presents poor away form (67% losses, only 13% wins), but their last two overall wins may suggest an improvement in disposition. Given Tamworth's recent run of draws and Altrincham's struggles on the road, a sharing of points is the most likely scenario, although the hosts have slightly better winning chances due to home advantage and superior xG stats.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tamworth | Altrincham | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Altrincham is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Tamworth · 1.8 pts / match - Altrincham
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tamworth is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Tamworth · 1.2 goals / match - Altrincham
Altrincham is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.54 goals / match - Tamworth · 1.41 goals / match - Altrincham
Tamworth scores in 80% of matches (37 of 46 matches), while Altrincham keeps a clean sheet in 22% (10 of 46 matches).
Altrincham scores in 80% of matches (37 of 46 matches), while Tamworth keeps a clean sheet in 17% (8 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tamworth
Over / Under — Altrincham
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Altrincham is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Tamworth · 1.43 pts / match - Altrincham
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tamworth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Altrincham - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tamworth
Altrincham
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Tamworth | Liga | Altrincham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.91 | 2.92 | ▼ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 57% | • 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 24% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tamworth 1 - 0 - 0 Altrincham. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tamworth vs Altrincham?
The National League match finished Tamworth 5:1 Altrincham. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tamworth vs Altrincham?
Tamworth score 1.37 goals per game on average and Altrincham 1.20. The National League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Tamworth's matches and 61% of Altrincham's.
What form are Tamworth and Altrincham in?
Over the last 5 games Tamworth have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Altrincham 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tamworth vs Altrincham?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.