Tamworth vs Altrincham: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, which argues for a draw. Tamworth has recorded a streak of five draws in their last five matches, showing defensive stability but a lack of offensive efficiency. The hosts have a better home goal difference (-1) and higher xG (1.57 vs 1.46), giving them a slight edge. Altrincham presents poor away form (67% losses, only 13% wins), but their last two overall wins may suggest an improvement in disposition. Given Tamworth's recent run of draws and Altrincham's struggles on the road, a sharing of points is the most likely scenario, although the hosts have slightly better winning chances due to home advantage and superior xG stats.
Tamworth vs Altrincham: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tamworth played against Altrincham in National League (England). The game was played on February 24, 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Recent form
Tamworth has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Altrincham has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Tamworth scores 1.16 goals per game and allows 1.59. Altrincham scores 1.15 and allows 1.48. Games in this league average 2.86 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 69% of Tamworth's games and 64% of Altrincham's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 61%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Altrincham has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.45 per game. Tamworth takes 10.9 shots per game, while Altrincham takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Tamworth leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Altrincham leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.58 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tamworth's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Altrincham, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National League games average 2.86 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, which argues for a draw. Tamworth has recorded a streak of five draws in their last five matches, showing defensive stability but a lack of offensive efficiency. The hosts have a better home goal difference (-1) and higher xG (1.57 vs 1.46), giving them a slight edge. Altrincham presents poor away form (67% losses, only 13% wins), but their last two overall wins may suggest an improvement in disposition. Given Tamworth's recent run of draws and Altrincham's struggles on the road, a sharing of points is the most likely scenario, although the hosts have slightly better winning chances due to home advantage and superior xG stats.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tamworth | Altrincham | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Altrincham is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Tamworth · 1.4 pts / game - Altrincham
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Altrincham is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.59 goals / game - Tamworth · 1.48 goals / game - Altrincham
Tamworth scores in 78% of games (25 of 32 meczów), while Altrincham keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 meczów).
Altrincham scores in 79% of games (26 of 33 meczów), while Tamworth keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 32 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tamworth
Over / Under - Altrincham
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Altrincham is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / game - Tamworth · 1.3 pts / game - Altrincham
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tamworth - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Altrincham - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tamworth
Altrincham
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Tamworth | Liga | Altrincham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.75 | 2.86 | ▼ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 56% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 24% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 72% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Tamworth's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Altrincham. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tamworth vs Altrincham?
The National League match finished Tamworth 5:1 Altrincham. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tamworth vs Altrincham?
Tamworth score 1.16 goals per game on average and Altrincham 1.15. The National League average is 2.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Tamworth's matches and 64% of Altrincham's.
What form are Tamworth and Altrincham in?
Over the last 5 games Tamworth have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Altrincham 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tamworth vs Altrincham?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.