England - National LeagueThe Lamb GroundData current as of October 15, 2026

Tamworth vs Barrow: match statistics

Tamworth crest
Tamworth
1 : 2half-time 0:0
Barrow crest
Barrow

Tamworth vs Barrow: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Tamworth played against Barrow in National League (England). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: The Lamb Ground. Final score: 1:2.

Recent form

Tamworth has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Barrow has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Tamworth scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 2.33. Barrow scores 1.67 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 3.06 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 83% of Tamworth's games and 58% of Barrow's. The Over 2.5 rates are 83% and 67%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Barrow has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.57 per game. Tamworth takes 12.6 shots per game, while Barrow takes 10.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Tamworth leads at halftime in 8% of its games and scores 1.17 goals per game after halftime. Barrow leads at halftime in 17% and scores 1.17 after halftime.

When the teams score

Tamworth's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Barrow, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

National League games average 3.06 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Tamworth have a clear home advantage: they have won 60% of their home matches, while Barrow have won just 17% of their away games. The hosts average 2 goals at home with an xG of 1,96, while the visitors score 1,5 goals per away match with an xG of 1,48, pointing to greater attacking potential for Tamworth in this matchup. However, Barrow are in better overall form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches and conceded 4 goals in that run, compared with 3 wins and 9 goals conceded for Tamworth. The visitors’ superior defensive record across the season also boosts their chances: 15 goals conceded against 28 by the hosts. Even so, Barrow’s weaker away results—including no clean sheets and an average of 1,67 goals conceded—tip the prediction slightly in Tamworth’s favor.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Tamworth score an average of 1.83 goals per home game, while Barrow concede 1.67 away from home, which points to the hosts finding the net. The visitors also have reason to score: they average 1.50 goals away from home and have averaged 2.0 across their last five matches. Both teams scored in 50% of Tamworth’s home games and 67% of Barrow’s away matches, giving BTTS - Yes a slight edge. However, this is not a strong signal, as Tamworth kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home games, while Barrow failed to score in 33% of their away matches.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been surpassed in 83% of matches for both Tamworth and Barrow. The hosts average 1.83 goals scored, while the visitors concede 1.67, supporting the case for at least one Tamworth goal. Barrow average 1.5 goals and generate an xG of 1.48, so they could also get on the scoresheet, although Tamworth have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 60% of both teams’ last five matches, but the gap between Tamworth’s (83%) and Barrow’s (50%) season figures makes this line less reliable than Over 1.5.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Tamworth were level at the break in 5 of their 6 matches, Barrow in 4 of 6, and the visitors went into half-time level in each of their last 5 games. After the break, I give Tamworth the advantage: they score an average of 1.5 goals in second halves, while Barrow concede 1.17. The hosts have won the second half in 67% of matches, compared with just 17% for the visitors; Tamworth’s average of 1.83 goals scored per match, against Barrow’s 1.67 goals conceded, also supports a home win. However, the risk attached to the X/1 pick is significant, as Barrow have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored an average of 2 goals in them, so X/2 remains a strong alternative.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 2
Second half

Game stats

40Possession (%)60
TamworthBarrow
12Shots6
TamworthBarrow
8Shots on target4
TamworthBarrow
1.72xG1.09
TamworthBarrow
3Corners4
TamworthBarrow
56Dangerous attacks58
TamworthBarrow
15Fouls21
TamworthBarrow
3Cards2
TamworthBarrow

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.67Goals scored / game1.67
TamworthBarrow
2.33Goals allowed / game1.25
TamworthBarrow
41%Average possession51%
TamworthBarrow
4.92Shots on target / game5.08
TamworthBarrow

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.58Shots per game10.75
TamworthBarrow
4.92Shots on target5.08
TamworthBarrow
13.2%Shot conversion15.5%
TamworthBarrow
41%Possession51%
TamworthBarrow
1.57xG for1.62
TamworthBarrow
1.5xG against1.22
TamworthBarrow

Shooting quality

Tamworth: Counter-attackingBarrow: Efficient finishing
TamworthBarrow
Accuracy (shots on target)39%47%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Barrow is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Tamworth · 2.4 pts / game - Barrow

Tamworth
LWLWW
Season result split
33% W17% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-6
1.17 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LWDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Barrow
LWWWW
Season result split
42% W25% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-4
1.50 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-2
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DDDLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.70Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Barrow is 86% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.33 goals / game - Tamworth · 1.25 goals / game - Barrow

Tamworth scoring profile: very strong

Tamworth scores in 100% of games (12 of 12 games), while Barrow keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 games).

Barrow scoring profile: very strong

Barrow scores in 83% of games (10 of 12 games), while Tamworth keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 games).

20Goals scored (season)20
TamworthBarrow
28Goals conceded (season)15
TamworthBarrow
4Average goals per game2.92
TamworthBarrow
7Goals scored (last 5)10
TamworthBarrow
9Goals conceded (last 5)4
TamworthBarrow

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal83%
TamworthBarrow
50%2 goals50%
TamworthBarrow
17%3 goals25%
TamworthBarrow
0%4 goals8%
TamworthBarrow

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal75%
TamworthBarrow
75%2 goals50%
TamworthBarrow
50%3 goals0%
TamworthBarrow
17%4 goals0%
TamworthBarrow

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

42%BTTS at half-time25%
TamworthBarrow
25%BTTS in both halves8%
TamworthBarrow
25%Scored in both halves25%
TamworthBarrow

BTTS and goal count

83%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
TamworthBarrow
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
TamworthBarrow
60%BTTS - last 540%
TamworthBarrow

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
TamworthBarrow
58%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
TamworthBarrow
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
TamworthBarrow

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
TamworthBarrow
75%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
TamworthBarrow
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
TamworthBarrow

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Barrow is 87% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / game - Tamworth · 1.25 pts / game - Barrow

Tamworth - half-time state
8% leading42% draw50% trailing
Barrow - half-time state
17% leading75% draw8% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per game (1st half)1.25
TamworthBarrow
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.5
TamworthBarrow
1.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
TamworthBarrow
1.83Average goals (1st half)0.83
TamworthBarrow
25%Clean sheet before half-time67%
TamworthBarrow
50%No goal before half-time58%
TamworthBarrow

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per game (2nd half)1.42
TamworthBarrow
1.17Goals scored (2nd half)1.17
TamworthBarrow
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.92
TamworthBarrow
2.17Average goals (2nd half)2.08
TamworthBarrow
33%Clean sheet after half-time42%
TamworthBarrow
25%No goal after half-time33%
TamworthBarrow

Tamworth - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
8
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding413%

Leads at halftime in 8% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Barrow - second-half results

42% W17% D42% L
15
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding247%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Tamworth - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.60
Goals scored / game0.21.2
Goals allowed / game1.00.8
Average goals per game1.22.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-4+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Barrow - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.40
Goals scored / game0.21.8
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game0.42.4
1 goal20%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference0+6
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Tamworth
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
1
4
16-30
3
10
31-45
5
4
46-60
3
7
61-75
6
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Barrow
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
4
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
5
4
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.46
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Tamworth

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.83
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
166%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.63
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Barrow

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.90
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

TamworthLigaBarrow
Average goals per game▲ 4.003.06▼ 2.92
Both teams scored▲ 83%64%▼ 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 83%60%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▼ 17%19%▲ 25%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%73%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▼ 83%87%▲ 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.06
Average goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.66
Home goals / game
1.40
Away goals / game
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. TamworthYellow cardRhys Christian Lovett
  2. TamworthYellow cardCarson Hayden
  3. BarrowGoalCorey EdwardsAssist: Arian Allen
  4. BarrowSubstitutionOn: Isaac MarriottOff: Corey Edwards
  5. BarrowYellow cardArian Allen
  6. BarrowYellow cardPaul Kalambayi
  7. BarrowSubstitutionOn: Innes CameronOff: Alex Michael Reid
  8. TamworthGoalTeo Kurtaran
  9. TamworthSubstitutionOn: Jordan Cullinane-LiburdOff: Ben Acquaye
  10. TamworthYellow cardSydney Agina

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Tamworth vs Barrow?

The National League match finished Tamworth 1:2 Barrow. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Tamworth vs Barrow?

Tamworth score 1.67 goals per game on average and Barrow 1.67. The National League average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Tamworth's matches and 58% of Barrow's.

What form are Tamworth and Barrow in?

Over the last 5 games Tamworth have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Barrow 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tamworth vs Barrow?

The statistical background for Tamworth vs Barrow — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.