Tamworth vs Gateshead: match statistics
Tamworth appears to be the favorite for this fixture despite their mediocre form. The hosts possess a superior goal difference at home (-2) compared to Gateshead's away record (-12), along with scoring efficiency stats (9% vs 16%, but backed by a better xG of 1.59 vs 1.34). Gateshead is in disastrous form, currently on a five-game losing streak with zero points in their last five matches, making them highly vulnerable. The visitors' average of 2.5 goals conceded away and failing to score in 42% of their matches indicate severe offensive and defensive issues. Despite a 42% home loss rate, Tamworth should capitalize on their opponent's weaknesses and secure the three points, particularly given their possession advantage and superior xG metrics. While a draw remains a tangible possibility due to the unpredictability of both teams, Gateshead's form heavily tips the scales in favor of the hosts.
Tamworth vs Gateshead: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tamworth played against Gateshead in National League (England). The game was played on January 3, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Tamworth has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Gateshead has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 0.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Tamworth scores 1.20 goals per game and allows 1.80. Gateshead scores 1.17 and allows 2.42. Games in this league average 2.79 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 72% of Tamworth's games and 50% of Gateshead's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 75%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tamworth has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.41 per game. Tamworth takes 10.9 shots per game, while Gateshead takes 10.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Tamworth leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Gateshead leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.54 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tamworth's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). For Gateshead, it is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National League games average 2.79 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tamworth appears to be the favorite for this fixture despite their mediocre form. The hosts possess a superior goal difference at home (-2) compared to Gateshead's away record (-12), along with scoring efficiency stats (9% vs 16%, but backed by a better xG of 1.59 vs 1.34). Gateshead is in disastrous form, currently on a five-game losing streak with zero points in their last five matches, making them highly vulnerable. The visitors' average of 2.5 goals conceded away and failing to score in 42% of their matches indicate severe offensive and defensive issues. Despite a 42% home loss rate, Tamworth should capitalize on their opponent's weaknesses and secure the three points, particularly given their possession advantage and superior xG metrics. While a draw remains a tangible possibility due to the unpredictability of both teams, Gateshead's form heavily tips the scales in favor of the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tamworth | Gateshead | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tamworth is 34% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.8 goals / game - Tamworth · 2.42 goals / game - Gateshead
Tamworth scores in 84% of games (21 of 25 meczów), while Gateshead keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 24 meczów).
Gateshead scores in 54% of games (13 of 24 meczów), while Tamworth keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tamworth
Over / Under - Gateshead
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tamworth is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / game - Tamworth · 0.79 pts / game - Gateshead
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tamworth - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Gateshead - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -8 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tamworth
Gateshead
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Tamworth | Liga | Gateshead | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 53% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 26% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | • 72% | 71% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 79% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Tamworth's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Gateshead. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tamworth vs Gateshead?
The National League match finished Tamworth 3:1 Gateshead. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tamworth vs Gateshead?
Tamworth score 1.20 goals per game on average and Gateshead 1.17. The National League average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Tamworth's matches and 50% of Gateshead's.
What form are Tamworth and Gateshead in?
Over the last 5 games Tamworth have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Gateshead 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tamworth vs Gateshead?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tamworth vs Gateshead: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.