Tanzania Prisons vs Mbeya City: match statistics
Tanzania Prisons vs Mbeya City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tanzania Prisons play Mbeya City in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match date is 8 July 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Sokoine Stadium. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Tanzania Prisons: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Mbeya City: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tanzania Prisons scores 0.72 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Mbeya City scores 0.78 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tanzania Prisons 31%, Mbeya City 31%. Over 2.5: Tanzania Prisons 38%, Mbeya City 28%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Mbeya City has higher xG: 0.99 vs 0.95. Tanzania Prisons: 3.6 shots per match, Mbeya City: 4.7.
Match halves
Tanzania Prisons: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.38. Mbeya City: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.28.
Goals by minute
Tanzania Prisons: 0-15 (6 goals). Mbeya City: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a slight home advantage: Tanzania Prisons have 23 goals this season and average 0.87 goals per home match with a home goal difference of -5, while Mbeya City have 25 goals this season and average 0.93 goals away with a difference of -10. Visitors create more chances — on average 6.75 shots and 2.75 on target with xG 1.10 away, versus hosts’ 3.17 shots, 1.17 on target and xG 0.79 at home, but the hosts have higher conversion rate (26% vs 15%). Defensively the edge is with the hosts: they concede 1.20 goals at home and keep 40% clean sheets, while the visitors concede 1.60 away and have 27% clean sheets. In the last 5 matches the hosts averaged 1.8 points (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses), and the visitors 1.6 points (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), confirming a minimal form advantage for the hosts. Due to better home defense and form I forecast a narrow home win, while acknowledging a high risk of a draw because of the visitors’ superiority in chance creation.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tanzania Prisons | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.64 | 0.58 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mbeya City is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Tanzania Prisons · 1.8 pts / match - Mbeya City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mbeya City is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
0.72 goals / match - Tanzania Prisons · 0.78 goals / match - Mbeya City
Tanzania Prisons scores in 47% of matches (15 of 32 matches), while Mbeya City keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
Mbeya City scores in 50% of matches (16 of 32 matches), while Tanzania Prisons keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tanzania Prisons
Over / Under — Mbeya City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tanzania Prisons - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mbeya City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tanzania Prisons
Mbeya City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Tanzania Prisons | Liga | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.03 | 2.17 | ▼ 2.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 35% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 38% | 39% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 39% | ▼ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 60% | ▲ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Tanzania Prisons 1 - 0 - 2 Mbeya City. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tanzania Prisons vs Mbeya City?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Tanzania Prisons 0:0 Mbeya City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tanzania Prisons and Mbeya City?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Tanzania Prisons won 1, Mbeya City won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tanzania Prisons vs Mbeya City?
Tanzania Prisons score 0.72 goals per game on average and Mbeya City 0.78. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Tanzania Prisons's matches and 31% of Mbeya City's.
What form are Tanzania Prisons and Mbeya City in?
Over the last 5 games Tanzania Prisons have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Mbeya City 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tanzania Prisons vs Mbeya City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.