Tapatío vs Cancún: match statistics
Tapatío presents significantly better home form with 60% victories and an impressive average of 2.3 goals per match at home, confirmed by a positive goal difference of +10. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 meetings, scoring 10 goals, which attests to the team's offensive strength. Cancún, despite a better overall record (12 victories), performs much worse away – just 45% wins and only 1.09 goals scored on average per away match. The visitors also have form issues, earning only 1.4 points per match in their last five outings. Tapatío's advantage in possession (48% vs 38%) and significantly higher scoring efficiency (16% vs 11%) further speak for the hosts, although Cancún's solid defense (36% clean sheets away) may make this a tight encounter.
Tapatío vs Cancún: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tapatío played against Cancún in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on March 6, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Tapatío has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Cancún has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Tapatío scores 1.71 goals per game and allows 1.33. Cancún scores 1.61 and allows 0.83. Games in this league average 2.89 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of Tapatío's games and 43% of Cancún's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 43%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cancún has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.43 per game. Tapatío takes 11.9 shots per game, while Cancún takes 11.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Tapatío leads at halftime in 48% of its games and scores 0.81 goals per game after halftime. Cancún leads at halftime in 43% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tapatío's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Cancún, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.89 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tapatío presents significantly better home form with 60% victories and an impressive average of 2.3 goals per match at home, confirmed by a positive goal difference of +10. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 meetings, scoring 10 goals, which attests to the team's offensive strength. Cancún, despite a better overall record (12 victories), performs much worse away – just 45% wins and only 1.09 goals scored on average per away match. The visitors also have form issues, earning only 1.4 points per match in their last five outings. Tapatío's advantage in possession (48% vs 38%) and significantly higher scoring efficiency (16% vs 11%) further speak for the hosts, although Cancún's solid defense (36% clean sheets away) may make this a tight encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tapatío | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tapatío is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Tapatío · 1.4 pts / game - Cancún
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tapatío is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
1.71 goals / game - Tapatío · 1.61 goals / game - Cancún
Cancún is 60% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Tapatío · 0.83 goals / game - Cancún
Tapatío scores in 76% of games (16 of 21 meczów), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 43% (10 of 23 meczów).
Cancún scores in 78% of games (18 of 23 meczów), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tapatío
Over / Under - Cancún
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tapatío - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 38%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Cancún - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tapatío
Cancún
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tapatío | Liga | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.05 | 2.89 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 54% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 72% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Tapatío's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Cancún. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tapatío vs Cancún?
The Ascenso MX match finished Tapatío 1:2 Cancún. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tapatío vs Cancún?
Tapatío score 1.71 goals per game on average and Cancún 1.61. The Ascenso MX average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Tapatío's matches and 43% of Cancún's.
What form are Tapatío and Cancún in?
Over the last 5 games Tapatío have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Cancún 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tapatío vs Cancún?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.