Tapatío vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: match statistics
Tapatío vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tapatío played against Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on September 6, 2026. Venue: Estadio AKRON. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Tapatío has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Tapatío scores 1.83 goals per game and allows 1.33. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 2.33 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 3.33 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Tapatío's games and 67% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 67%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.28 per game. Tapatío takes 11.3 shots per game, while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara takes 11.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Tapatío leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.17 goals per game after halftime. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara leads at halftime in 67% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tapatío's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 3.33 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leones Negros boast a very strong away record: they have won all 3 matches played away from home so far, scoring an average of 2.67 goals per game. The visitors are also more clinical in front of goal, converting 27% of their attempts from 10 shots per match, compared with Tapatío’s 13% conversion rate from 13 shots. Both teams have scored 10–11 goals in their last 5 matches and collected 10 points each, but Leones Negros conceded just 5 goals during this period, compared with 8 for the hosts. Tapatío have won 67% of their home matches and concede an average of only 0.67 goals, meaning their home advantage clearly increases the likelihood of a closely contested game. Nevertheless, the visitors’ three-match away winning streak, their failure to draw a blank in any away fixture, and superior attacking efficiency all point to a narrow win for Leones Negros.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a seasonal BTTS rate of 67%, well above the league average of 53%. Tapatío score an average of 2.00 goals, while Leones Negros average 2.67, and neither side has yet finished a seasonal match without scoring. In their last five matches, the hosts recorded BTTS in 80% of games and conceded an average of 1.6 goals, while the visitors scored an average of 2.0 goals per match. The xG data also supports goals at both ends: Tapatío create chances worth 1.85 xG, while the Leones Negros defense allows an average of 1.61 xG. Each team has kept a clean sheet in only 33% of matches, making BTTS - Yes the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have surpassed the 1.5-goal line in 100% of their matches so far, with their average total goals standing at 3.33 for Tapatío games and 3.67 for Leones Negros matches. Tapatío average 2.00 goals scored, while the visitors average 2.67, and neither team has finished a match without scoring. The hosts create chances worth 1.85 xG, while Leones Negros’ defense allows opponents 1.61 xG; on the other side, the visitors’ 1.29 xG and Tapatío’s 1.53 xG conceded also support a goals market. In their last five appearances, both teams recorded at least three goals in 60% of their matches, but the strongest signal remains Over 1.5 goals, backed by the high attacking consistency of both sides.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Leones Negros have a very strong opening profile: they were leading at the break in all three matches covered by the data, and did so in 60% of their last five. The visitors averaged 2.0 goals before half-time across the full sample and 1.8 in their last five appearances, while Tapatío have recently scored just 0.8 goals during this phase. Leones Negros’ superiority is also reflected in the full-time results, having won 100% of their season matches and averaging 2.67 goals scored against just 1.00 conceded. Tapatío have the higher own xG, 1.85 compared with 1.29, and have averaged 1.4 goals per match after the break across their last five games, so turnaround scenarios remain plausible; however, the strongest statistical support points to the visitors leading at half-time and holding on for the win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tapatío | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 27% better for: goals scored per game.
1.83 goals / game - Tapatío · 2.33 goals / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Tapatío · 1.17 goals / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Tapatío scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 games), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 games).
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 games), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tapatío
Over / Under - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - Tapatío · 2.17 pts / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tapatío - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tapatío
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tapatío | Liga | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.17 | 3.33 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 25% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraYellow cardMiguel Alvarado
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Joél Gustavo Pérez ValleOff: Juan Jesús Brigido Chen
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraGoalSergio HernandezAssist: Luis Salvador Razo Miranda
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Tapatío's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tapatío vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
The Ascenso MX match finished Tapatío 1:3 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tapatío and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tapatío won 1, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tapatío vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
Tapatío score 1.83 goals per game on average and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 2.33. The Ascenso MX average is 3.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Tapatío's matches and 67% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's.
What form are Tapatío and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games Tapatío have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tapatío vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.