Tapatío vs Venados: match statistics
Tapatío demonstrates significantly better form at home, winning 43% of home matches and conceding just 1.43 goals per match, evidencing a solid defense. Venados performs very poorly away, losing as many as 71% of their games and recording zero draws, pointing to a lack of stability on the road. The visitors have failed to keep a clean sheet in any away match and concede an average of 2.43 goals per game, constituting their biggest weakness. Tapatío's positive goal difference at home (+4) compared to Venados' negative away record (-5) confirms the hosts' advantage. Although both teams share similar possession stats (48%), Tapatío's efficiency in home conditions and Venados' defensive issues on their travels favor a home victory.
Tapatío vs Venados: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tapatío played against Venados in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on January 16, 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Recent form
Tapatío has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Venados has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Tapatío scores 1.47 goals per game and allows 1.33. Venados scores 2.20 and allows 2.07. Games in this league average 2.97 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Tapatío's games and 67% of Venados's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 67%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Venados has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.46 per game. Tapatío takes 12.3 shots per game, while Venados takes 12.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Tapatío leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Venados leads at halftime in 33% and scores 1.13 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tapatío's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Venados, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.97 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tapatío demonstrates significantly better form at home, winning 43% of home matches and conceding just 1.43 goals per match, evidencing a solid defense. Venados performs very poorly away, losing as many as 71% of their games and recording zero draws, pointing to a lack of stability on the road. The visitors have failed to keep a clean sheet in any away match and concede an average of 2.43 goals per game, constituting their biggest weakness. Tapatío's positive goal difference at home (+4) compared to Venados' negative away record (-5) confirms the hosts' advantage. Although both teams share similar possession stats (48%), Tapatío's efficiency in home conditions and Venados' defensive issues on their travels favor a home victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tapatío | Venados | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Venados is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Tapatío · 1.4 pts / game - Venados
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Venados is 50% better for: goals scored per game.
1.47 goals / game - Tapatío · 2.2 goals / game - Venados
Tapatío is 56% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Tapatío · 2.07 goals / game - Venados
Tapatío scores in 73% of games (11 of 15 meczów), while Venados keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 15 meczów).
Venados scores in 73% of games (11 of 15 meczów), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tapatío
Over / Under - Venados
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tapatío is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / game - Tapatío · 1.4 pts / game - Venados
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tapatío - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 27%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Venados - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tapatío
Venados
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tapatío | Liga | Venados | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.80 | 2.97 | ▲ 4.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 55% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 25% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 77% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 80% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Tapatío's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Venados. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tapatío vs Venados?
The Ascenso MX match finished Tapatío 4:2 Venados. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tapatío vs Venados?
Tapatío score 1.47 goals per game on average and Venados 2.20. The Ascenso MX average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Tapatío's matches and 67% of Venados's.
What form are Tapatío and Venados in?
Over the last 5 games Tapatío have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Venados 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tapatío vs Venados?
The statistical background for Tapatío vs Venados — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.