Team Altamura vs Monopoli: match statistics

Both teams have picked up 5 points from their last five matches, recording identical records of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Their attacking output has been equally limited, with Team Altamura and Monopoli scoring 4 goals each during this period—an average of just 0.8 goals per game. Monopoli look slightly more solid defensively, conceding 7 goals in five matches compared with 9 for the hosts. However, the visitors’ defensive edge is too small to fully offset Altamura’s home advantage, particularly as both teams have recorded two draws in their last five league fixtures. With low goal production and very similar recent form, a draw is the most likely outcome.

Both teams have averaged just 0.8 goals scored in their last five matches, meaning only 8 goals in 10 games combined. Team Altamura recorded BTTS in 60% of those matches, but Monopoli did so in only 40%, which does not provide a consistently strong signal for goals from both sides. The hosts created chances worth just 0.88 xG per game, while Monopoli averaged 1.21 xG, with the visitors’ defense allowing opponents only 1.18 xG. Altamura conceded an average of 1.8 goals, so Monopoli have offensive arguments in their favor; however, both teams’ low scoring output increases the risk that at least one side will fail to score. The most likely scenario is therefore BTTS - No, not necessarily a goalless draw.

Data from the last five matches points to limited attacking potential from both sides: Altamura and Monopoli have each scored 0.8 goals per game. Although Altamura conceded 1.8 goals per match, Monopoli also averages just 0.8 goals scored, with an xG of 1.21. The hosts generated only 0.88 xG, while Monopoli’s defense allowed an average of 1.18 xG, supporting a projected total of around 2.22 goals. Over 2.5 goals landed in 40% of Altamura’s last matches and just 20% of Monopoli’s, making four or more goals the least likely outcome. The strongest edge therefore lies with Under 3.5 goals, as even with the hosts’ defensive weaknesses, the attacking data for both teams does not suggest an open, high-scoring game.

The strongest scenario is a draw both at half-time and at full-time, as both teams have drawn 2 of their last 5 matches and collected 1.0 point per game over that period. Monopoli were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches and did not lead at half-time in any of them, which clearly limits the likelihood of a quick away win. Altamura scored just 0.2 goals per game before the break, while Monopoli averaged 0.4, making a cautious and evenly balanced opening—particularly at 0-0—the most likely outcome. After half-time, the home side conceded an average of 1.0 goal, but Monopoli scored only 0.4, while the visitors kept a clean sheet in 80% of second halves, favouring the draw being maintained rather than a decisive result.