Telstar vs NAC Breda: match statistics
Analysis of the statistics indicates very even chances for both teams, which argues for a draw. Telstar occupies 17th place in the table with only an 8% win rate at home, but in the last 5 matches overall, they earn 1 point per match, similar to NAC Breda (1.6 points). NAC Breda presents weak form on the road with 45% of matches without a goal scored and only 9% wins, although their overall recent form is better (2 wins in the last 5 matches). Both teams have similar xG indicators, possession (45-46%), and negative goal differences in their matches. Telstar scores an average of 1.5 goals at home, while NAC scores only 0.91 goals away, suggesting a low probability of a high score. Considering Telstar's high rate of draws at home (42%) and NAC's difficulties in scoring goals on the road, a draw seems the most probable result of this meeting between two teams from the lower part of the table.
Telstar vs NAC Breda: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Telstar played against NAC Breda in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on February 27, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Telstar has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. NAC Breda has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Telstar scores 1.17 goals per game and allows 1.71. NAC Breda scores 1.04 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 3.21 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Telstar's games and 50% of NAC Breda's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 65% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
NAC Breda has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.42 per game. Telstar takes 12.8 shots per game, while NAC Breda takes 13.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Telstar leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. NAC Breda leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
Telstar's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For NAC Breda, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.21 goals. Both teams score in 65% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Analysis of the statistics indicates very even chances for both teams, which argues for a draw. Telstar occupies 17th place in the table with only an 8% win rate at home, but in the last 5 matches overall, they earn 1 point per match, similar to NAC Breda (1.6 points). NAC Breda presents weak form on the road with 45% of matches without a goal scored and only 9% wins, although their overall recent form is better (2 wins in the last 5 matches). Both teams have similar xG indicators, possession (45-46%), and negative goal differences in their matches. Telstar scores an average of 1.5 goals at home, while NAC scores only 0.91 goals away, suggesting a low probability of a high score. Considering Telstar's high rate of draws at home (42%) and NAC's difficulties in scoring goals on the road, a draw seems the most probable result of this meeting between two teams from the lower part of the table.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Telstar | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
NAC Breda is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Telstar · 1.6 pts / game - NAC Breda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Telstar is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1.17 goals / game - Telstar · 1.04 goals / game - NAC Breda
NAC Breda is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.71 goals / game - Telstar · 1.5 goals / game - NAC Breda
Telstar scores in 75% of games (18 of 24 meczów), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 meczów).
NAC Breda scores in 63% of games (15 of 24 meczów), while Telstar keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Telstar
Over / Under - NAC Breda
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Telstar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 13%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
NAC Breda - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Telstar
NAC Breda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Telstar | Liga | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.88 | 3.21 | ▼ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 18% | • 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 81% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 85% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Telstar's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against NAC Breda. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Telstar vs NAC Breda?
The Eredivisie match finished Telstar 3:0 NAC Breda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Telstar vs NAC Breda?
Telstar score 1.17 goals per game on average and NAC Breda 1.04. The Eredivisie average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Telstar's matches and 50% of NAC Breda's.
What form are Telstar and NAC Breda in?
Over the last 5 games Telstar have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and NAC Breda 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Telstar vs NAC Breda?
The statistical background for Telstar vs NAC Breda — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


