Temperley vs Almagro: match statistics

Temperley are in excellent form: they have collected 13 points from their last five matches, with four wins and one draw, conceding just 2 goals in the process. At home, the hosts win 64% of their matches, score an average of 1.79 goals and generate 1.42 xG, while Almagro score only 0.64 goals away from home with 0.97 xG. The visitors have failed to score in 57% of their away fixtures, average just 2.64 shots on target per match, and have also lost 50% of their away games. Almagro’s defense allows an average of 1.88 xG and concedes 1.43 goals away from home, which clearly favors an effective performance from Temperley. The difference in current form and chance quality, combined with the hosts’ possession advantage—52% compared with 42%—points to a home win.

Seasonal statistics clearly support BTTS - No: Temperley has seen both teams score in 40% of its matches, while Almagro has recorded this outcome in only 36%, exactly matching the league average. The visitors score just 0.64 goals per game and failed to score in as many as 57% of their appearances, which is a key argument against a Goal/Goal outcome. Temperley keeps a clean sheet in 40% of matches and has conceded only 2 goals in its last five games, averaging 0.4 per match. Although Almagro concedes an average of 1.43 goals per game, giving the hosts a good chance to score, Temperley's average of 0.8 goals scored in its last five matches limits the visitors' chances of a response. The low league average of 1.93 goals per game, along with only 27% and 29% of matches involving over 2.5 goals for the two teams respectively, further points to a closed scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

The seasonal profile of both teams clearly points toward a low-scoring outcome: fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 93% of Temperley’s matches and 86% of Almagro’s. Temperley concede just 0.87 goals per match on average and keep a clean sheet in 40% of their appearances, while Almagro score only 0.64 goals per game and fail to score in as many as 57% of matches. The hosts have been effective recently, scoring 1.8 goals per game across their last five appearances, but their opponents concede an average of 1.43 goals, suggesting a controlled result rather than an open, high-scoring game. The league-wide average is also only 1.93 goals, while matches featuring at least four goals have been rare for both sides. Therefore, Under 3.5 goals is the selection most strongly supported by the data.

The strongest scenario points to a draw at half-time followed by a Temperley win, as the hosts were level at the break in 73% of their matches, compared with 43% for Almagro. First halves are typically very tight: Temperley average just 0.27 goals and Almagro 0.36, with both teams scoring before half-time in only 13% and 7% of their matches, respectively. After the interval, Temperley’s advantage grows significantly: the hosts average 0.80 goals, while Almagro average only 0.29, with second-half goal differences of +5 and -5, respectively. Recent form also strongly favors the hosts, who have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded across their last five matches, winning 80% of them, compared with Almagro’s 0.8 goals scored and 20% win rate. Additionally, Almagro failed to score in 57% of their matches this season, while Temperley kept a clean sheet in 40%, further strengthening the prospect of a home win after half-time in the HT/FT market.