Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas: match statistics
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tepatitlán de Morelos play Mineros de Zacatecas in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 4 May 2026 at 03:05. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Tepatitlán de Morelos: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Mineros de Zacatecas: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 1.35 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Mineros de Zacatecas scores 1.56 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tepatitlán de Morelos 50%, Mineros de Zacatecas 62%. Over 2.5: Tepatitlán de Morelos 35%, Mineros de Zacatecas 59%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Tepatitlán de Morelos has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.54. Tepatitlán de Morelos: 13.2 shots per match, Mineros de Zacatecas: 12.9.
Match halves
Tepatitlán de Morelos: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.78. Mineros de Zacatecas: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Tepatitlán de Morelos: 76-90+ (22 goals). Mineros de Zacatecas: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-2-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Tepatitlán de Morelos holds a clear defensive and home advantage: the hosts concede an average of 0.71 goals per home match and keep a clean sheet in 47% of games, while Mineros concede 2.06 goals on average away and register only 13% clean sheets. In attack Tepatitlán scored 47 goals this season and averages 1.59 goals at home with an xG of 1.79 and 5.47 shots on target per match, whereas Mineros have 52 goals this season but average only 1.31 goals away with xG 1.39 and just 4.44 shots on target. The efficiency gap is also reflected in results: the hosts win 59% of home matches and have a positive home goal difference (+15), while the visitors win only 25% of away games and have a negative away goal difference (-12). Both teams have a similar recent form — averaging 1.6 points per match in the last 5 games with an identical 2-2-1 record — but the hosts’ lower share of games without a goal (18% vs 31%) and higher shots per match (15.24 vs 10.63) favor the home side. Based on this I forecast a home win; I assess the probabilities as 65% Tepatitlán, 20% draw and 15% Mineros.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tepatitlán de Morelos | Mineros de Zacatecas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tepatitlán de Morelos is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.2 pts / match - Mineros de Zacatecas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mineros de Zacatecas is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.56 goals / match - Mineros de Zacatecas
Tepatitlán de Morelos is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.5 goals / match - Mineros de Zacatecas
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 73% of matches (29 of 40 matches), while Mineros de Zacatecas keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Mineros de Zacatecas scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 35% (14 of 40 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tepatitlán de Morelos
Over / Under — Mineros de Zacatecas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mineros de Zacatecas is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.71 pts / match - Mineros de Zacatecas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mineros de Zacatecas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 35%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mineros de Zacatecas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tepatitlán de Morelos | Liga | Mineros de Zacatecas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.30 | 2.85 | ▲ 3.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 53% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 25% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Tepatitlán de Morelos 1 - 2 - 0 Mineros de Zacatecas. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
The Ascenso MX match finished Tepatitlán de Morelos 1:1 Mineros de Zacatecas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Mineros de Zacatecas?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Tepatitlán de Morelos won 1, Mineros de Zacatecas won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Tepatitlán de Morelos score 1.35 goals per game on average and Mineros de Zacatecas 1.56. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's matches and 62% of Mineros de Zacatecas's.
What form are Tepatitlán de Morelos and Mineros de Zacatecas in?
Over the last 5 games Tepatitlán de Morelos have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Mineros de Zacatecas 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.